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Predictions › Spain › CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra
LaLiga 2Sat 3 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra prediction

Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta

CD SabadellHome
1.49 : 1.09
expected goals
FC AndorraAway
46%CD Sabadell
27%Draw
27%FC Andorra
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra is CD Sabadell to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
CD Sabadell to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CD Sabadell 1.5, FC Andorra 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CD Sabadell 46%, the draw 27% and FC Andorra 27%. The bookmakers agree and make CD Sabadell the favourite at 2.10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CD Sabadell took 10 points from their last 5 games and FC Andorra took 3 from 5. CD Sabadell come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CD Sabadell won 3 of their last 3 games at home. FC Andorra won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CD Sabadell score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.9. FC Andorra score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of CD Sabadell games and 11 of FC Andorra games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CD Sabadellrecent form+3%
  • FC Andorrarecent form-4%
  • CD Sabadellrest between games-5%
  • FC Andorrarest between games-5%
CD Sabadell form D W L W WFC Andorra form W L L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra: CD Sabadell are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CD Sabadell host FC Andorra in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 3 Oct, 16:30 at Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta. Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra is CD Sabadell to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect CD Sabadell to score about 1.5 goals and FC Andorra about 1.1. That points to CD Sabadell to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.5 at 3.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CD SabadellFC Andorra
Games played720
Wins38
Draws32
Losses110
Goals scored838
Goals conceded629
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record3W 0D 0L4W 1D 6L
Away record0W 3D 1L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets43%20%
Both teams scored43%50%
Over 2.5 goals29%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
CD Sabadell to win43%2.352.10-10.6%
A Draw26%3.803.10-18.3%
FC Andorra to win26%3.853.60-6.4%
Over 2.5 goals43%2.332.00-14.0%
Under 2.5 goals51%1.971.67-15.4%
CD Sabadell -0.542%2.362.00-15.2%
FC Andorra +0.551%1.951.67-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.85
Both teams to score52%1.92
CD Sabadell or Draw73%1.37
FC Andorra or Draw54%1.84
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.527%3.74
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.515%6.69
CD Sabadell clean sheet34%2.97
FC Andorra clean sheet23%4.44

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-010.6%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra?

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra is CD Sabadell to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect CD Sabadell to score 1.5 goals and FC Andorra 1.1.

Will both teams score in CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of CD Sabadell last 7 games and 10 of FC Andorra last 20.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 8 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Andorra playing?

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for CD Sabadell vs FC Andorra?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CD Sabadell against FC Andorra. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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