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Predictions › Spain › CD Sabadell vs Granada
LaLiga 2Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

CD Sabadell vs Granada prediction

Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta

CD SabadellHome
1.19 : 1.04
expected goals
GranadaAway
39%CD Sabadell
30%Draw
31%Granada
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Granada is CD Sabadell to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
CD Sabadell to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CD Sabadell 1.2, Granada 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CD Sabadell 39%, the draw 30% and Granada 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CD Sabadell took 5 points from their last 5 games and Granada took 15 from 5. Granada come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CD Sabadell won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Granada won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CD Sabadell score 0.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Granada score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of CD Sabadell games and 10 of Granada games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CD Sabadellrecent form-1%
  • Granadarecent form+7%
  • CD Sabadellrest between games-2%
CD Sabadell form D L D L WGranada form W W W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CD Sabadell vs Granada: CD Sabadell shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CD Sabadell host Granada in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta. Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Granada is CD Sabadell to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Granada form

Granada have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect CD Sabadell to score about 1.2 goals and Granada about 1.0. That points to CD Sabadell to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CD SabadellGranada
Games played1320
Wins49
Draws62
Losses39
Goals scored1227
Goals conceded1129
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record3W 3D 0L4W 1D 4L
Away record1W 3D 3L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets38%35%
Both teams scored46%50%
Over 2.5 goals31%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals38%2.60
Over 3.5 goals19%5.37
Both teams to score46%2.19
CD Sabadell or Draw69%1.45
Granada or Draw61%1.63
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.519%5.26
Granada to win and Over 2.515%6.78
CD Sabadell clean sheet35%2.82
Granada clean sheet30%3.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-012.0%
0-011.6%
0-110.4%
2-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CD Sabadell vs Granada?

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Granada is CD Sabadell to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for CD Sabadell vs Granada?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect CD Sabadell to score 1.2 goals and Granada 1.0.

Will both teams score in CD Sabadell vs Granada?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of CD Sabadell last 13 games and 10 of Granada last 20.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for CD Sabadell vs Granada?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CD Sabadell against Granada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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