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Predictions › Spain › CD Sabadell vs Tenerife
LaLiga 2Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Spain time

CD Sabadell vs Tenerife prediction

Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta

CD SabadellHome
2.17 : 1.04
expected goals
TenerifeAway
62%CD Sabadell
21%Draw
17%Tenerife
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Tenerife is CD Sabadell to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
CD Sabadell to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
CD Sabadell 2.2, Tenerife 1.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CD Sabadell 62%, the draw 21% and Tenerife 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CD Sabadell took 8 points from their last 5 games and Tenerife took 5 from 5. CD Sabadell come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CD Sabadell won 3 of their last 4 games at home. Tenerife won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CD Sabadell score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Tenerife score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of CD Sabadell games and 3 of Tenerife games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Teneriferecent form-1%
  • Teneriferest between games-2%
CD Sabadell form D D D W LTenerife form D L D L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CD Sabadell vs Tenerife: CD Sabadell are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CD Sabadell host Tenerife in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta. Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Tenerife is CD Sabadell to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Tenerife form

Tenerife have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect CD Sabadell to score about 2.2 goals and Tenerife about 1.0. That points to CD Sabadell to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.5 at 2.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 9 games in all competitions.

CD SabadellTenerife
Games played99
Wins43
Draws43
Losses13
Goals scored1011
Goals conceded713
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record3W 1D 0L2W 2D 1L
Away record1W 3D 1L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets44%22%
Both teams scored44%56%
Over 2.5 goals33%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.50
Both teams to score58%1.73
CD Sabadell or Draw83%1.20
Tenerife or Draw38%2.66
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.545%2.23
Tenerife to win and Over 2.511%9.22
CD Sabadell clean sheet35%2.84
Tenerife clean sheet11%8.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
1-19.7%
2-09.5%
1-08.2%
3-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CD Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Our prediction for CD Sabadell vs Tenerife is CD Sabadell to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for CD Sabadell vs Tenerife?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect CD Sabadell to score 2.2 goals and Tenerife 1.0.

Will both teams score in CD Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of CD Sabadell last 9 games and 5 of Tenerife last 9.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 9 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Tenerife playing?

Tenerife have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for CD Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CD Sabadell against Tenerife. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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