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Predictions › Europa League › Celta Vigo vs Juventus
Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction

Balaidos

Celta VigoHome
1.19 : 1.54
expected goals
JuventusAway
29%Celta Vigo
27%Draw
45%Juventus
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Juventus to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celta Vigo 1.2, Juventus 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celta Vigo to win
28% chancePrice 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celta Vigo 29%, the draw 27% and Juventus 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Juventus the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celta Vigo took 6 points from their last 5 games and Juventus took 10 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celta Vigo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Juventus won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celta Vigo score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.5. Juventus score 1.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Celta Vigo games and 6 of Juventus games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juventusrecent form+3%
Celta Vigo form W L D D DJuventus form W W L D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celta Vigo vs Juventus: Juventus shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celta Vigo host Juventus in the Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Balaidos. Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Juventus form

Juventus have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Celta Vigo to score about 1.2 goals and Juventus about 1.5. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Celta Vigo to win at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Celta VigoJuventus
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws56
Losses103
Goals scored2434
Goals conceded3017
Scored per game1.21.7
Conceded per game1.50.8
Home record3W 1D 6L7W 3D 2L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 3D 1L
Clean sheets25%55%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Celta Vigo to win28%3.553.50-1.4%
A Draw26%3.813.40-10.8%
Juventus to win42%2.372.05-13.6%
Over 2.5 goals47%2.131.91-10.4%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.101.83-12.8%
Celta Vigo +0.551%1.951.69-13.4%
Juventus -0.543%2.311.95-15.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.42
Both teams to score55%1.81
Celta Vigo or Draw55%1.81
Juventus or Draw71%1.40
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.517%5.91
Juventus to win and Over 2.528%3.61
Celta Vigo clean sheet21%4.68
Juventus clean sheet31%3.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-19.4%
1-29.2%
0-27.8%
0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Celta Vigo to score 1.2 goals and Juventus 1.5.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Celta Vigo last 20 games and 7 of Juventus last 20.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Juventus playing?

Juventus have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Vigo against Juventus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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