Predictions › Spain › Celta Vigo vs Levante

LaLigaSun 8 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction

Balaidos

Celta VigoHome

1.71 : 1.02

expected goals

LevanteAway

53%Celta Vigo

25%Draw

22%Levante

Eagle safe pickCelta Vigo or Draw

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante is Celta Vigo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction: Celta Vigo to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.7, Levante 1.0
Best bet: Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celta Vigo or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Celta Vigo 53%, the draw 25% and Levante 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Celta Vigo the favourite at 1.80.
2
Recent form
Celta Vigo took 8 points from their last 5 games and Levante took 5 from 5. Celta Vigo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Celta Vigo won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Levante won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Celta Vigo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.9. Levante score 1.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Celta Vigo games and 12 of Levante games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1 and Levante won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Celta Vigo 2, Levante 3.
6
The safest bet
Celta Vigo or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Celta Vigorecent form+1%

Celta Vigo form D W W L DLevante form D W D D LHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celta Vigo vs Levante: Celta Vigo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celta Vigo host Levante in the LaLiga on Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 at Balaidos. Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante is Celta Vigo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Levante form

Levante have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Celta Vigo won 1, Levante won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Celta Vigo 2, Levante 3.

Our call

We expect Celta Vigo to score about 1.7 goals and Levante about 1.0. That points to Celta Vigo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Celta Vigo	Levante
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	7
Goals scored	22	33
Goals conceded	19	34
Scored per game	1.1	1.6
Conceded per game	0.9	1.7
Home record	4W 2D 4L	7W 1D 1L
Away record	2W 5D 3L	1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets	35%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Celta Vigo to win	49%	2.04	1.80	-11.9%
A Draw	25%	4.02	3.80	-5.5%
Levante to win	22%	4.61	4.00	-13.3%
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.07	1.80	-13.2%
Under 2.5 goals	46%	2.19	1.95	-10.9%
Celta Vigo -0.5	49%	2.05	1.71	-16.3%
Levante +0.5	45%	2.22	1.91	-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.31
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.42
Both teams to score	53%	1.89
Celta Vigo or Draw	78%	1.28
Levante or Draw	47%	2.12
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5	33%	3.05
Levante to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.02
Celta Vigo clean sheet	36%	2.77
Levante clean sheet	18%	5.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

1-010.5%

2-19.7%

2-09.5%

0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante is Celta Vigo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Celta Vigo to score 1.7 goals and Levante 1.0.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Celta Vigo last 20 games and 12 of Levante last 20.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

How are Levante playing?

What happened when Celta Vigo and Levante last met?

It ended Celta Vigo 2, Levante 3. In the last 2 meetings Celta Vigo won 1 and Levante won 1.

What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Vigo against Levante. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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