Predictions › Spain › Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

LaLigaSun 25 Oct, 15:15 Spain time

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction

Balaidos

Celta VigoHome

1.47 : 1.46

expected goals

Real BetisAway

37%Celta Vigo

26%Draw

37%Betis

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis is Celta Vigo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Celta Vigo to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.5, Real Betis 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

12% chanceFair price 8.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Celta Vigo 37%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 37%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Real Betis the favourite at 2.45, so take care with this one.
2
Recent form
Celta Vigo took 5 points from their last 5 games and Real Betis took 13 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Celta Vigo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Real Betis won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Celta Vigo score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Real Betis score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Celta Vigo games and 12 of Real Betis games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Celta Vigo won 0 and Real Betis won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Real Betis 1, Celta Vigo 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Betisrecent form+4%
Betisrest between games-5%

Celta Vigo form D D W L DBetis form D W D W WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: Celta Vigo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celta Vigo host Real Betis in the LaLiga on Sun 25 Oct, 15:15 at Balaidos. Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis is Celta Vigo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Celta Vigo won 0, Real Betis won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Real Betis 1, Celta Vigo 1.

Our call

We expect Celta Vigo to score about 1.5 goals and Real Betis about 1.5. That points to Celta Vigo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Celta Vigo	Betis
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	12
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	3
Goals scored	19	38
Goals conceded	26	29
Scored per game	0.9	1.9
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	3W 1D 6L	8W 1D 1L
Away record	1W 5D 4L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Celta Vigo to win	37%	2.72	2.65	-2.5%
A Draw	24%	4.10	3.45	-15.8%
Real Betis to win	37%	2.74	2.45	-10.6%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.74	-10.6%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.21	2.00	-9.6%
Celta Vigo +0.5	58%	1.73	1.50	-13.2%
Real Betis -0.5	39%	2.58	2.30	-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.97
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Celta Vigo or Draw	63%	1.58
Real Betis or Draw	63%	1.59
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.13
Real Betis to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.16
Celta Vigo clean sheet	23%	4.32
Real Betis clean sheet	23%	4.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

2-18.4%

1-28.4%

1-07.1%

0-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis is Celta Vigo to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Celta Vigo to score 1.5 goals and Real Betis 1.5.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Celta Vigo last 20 games and 15 of Real Betis last 20.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

How are Real Betis playing?

What happened when Celta Vigo and Real Betis last met?

It ended Real Betis 1, Celta Vigo 1. In the last 1 meeting Celta Vigo won 0 and Real Betis won 0.

What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celta Vigo against Betis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.