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Predictions › Australia › Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
A-LeagueSat 17 Oct, 08:40 Australia time

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets prediction

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast MarinersHome
1.43 : 1.98
expected goals
Newcastle JetsAway
27%CC Mariners
23%Draw
50%Newcastle Jets
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Newcastle Jets to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Central Coast Mariners 1.4, Newcastle Jets 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Central Coast Mariners to win
27% chancePrice 3.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Coast Mariners 27%, the draw 23% and Newcastle Jets 50%. The bookmakers agree and make Newcastle Jets the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Coast Mariners took 5 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle Jets took 7 from 5. Newcastle Jets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Coast Mariners won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Newcastle Jets won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Newcastle Jets score 2.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Central Coast Mariners games and 13 of Newcastle Jets games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Central Coast Mariners won 1 and Newcastle Jets won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Newcastle Jets 4, Central Coast Mariners 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CC Marinersrecent form-1%
  • Newcastle Jetsrecent form-1%
  • CC Marinersrest between games-3%
  • Newcastle Jetsrest between games-3%
CC Mariners form L W D L DNewcastle Jets form L L D W DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets: Newcastle Jets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Coast Mariners host Newcastle Jets in the A-League on Sat 17 Oct, 08:40 at Central Coast Stadium. Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Central Coast Mariners form

Central Coast Mariners have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Newcastle Jets form

Newcastle Jets have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Central Coast Mariners won 1, Newcastle Jets won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Newcastle Jets 4, Central Coast Mariners 0.

Our call

We expect Central Coast Mariners to score about 1.4 goals and Newcastle Jets about 2.0. That points to Newcastle Jets to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Central Coast Mariners to win at 3.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CC MarinersNewcastle Jets
Games played2020
Wins612
Draws65
Losses83
Goals scored2843
Goals conceded3424
Scored per game1.42.1
Conceded per game1.71.2
Home record2W 5D 3L6W 2D 2L
Away record4W 1D 5L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Central Coast Mariners to win27%3.733.70-0.8%
A Draw23%4.434.30-2.9%
Newcastle Jets to win47%2.141.74-18.8%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.301.91-16.9%
Under 3.5 goals50%2.011.74-13.4%
Central Coast Mariners +0.544%2.292.00-12.7%
Newcastle Jets -0.550%2.021.67-17.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.25
Both teams to score66%1.51
Central Coast Mariners or Draw50%2.00
Newcastle Jets or Draw73%1.37
Central Coast Mariners to win and Over 2.520%5.10
Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.537%2.67
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet14%7.26
Newcastle Jets clean sheet24%4.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
1-29.3%
2-16.7%
2-26.6%
0-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Central Coast Mariners to score 1.4 goals and Newcastle Jets 2.0.

Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Central Coast Mariners last 20 games and 15 of Newcastle Jets last 20.

How are Central Coast Mariners playing?

Central Coast Mariners have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Newcastle Jets playing?

Newcastle Jets have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets last met?

It ended Newcastle Jets 4, Central Coast Mariners 0. In the last 3 meetings Central Coast Mariners won 1 and Newcastle Jets won 1.

What is the best bet for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CC Mariners against Newcastle Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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