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Predictions › Australia › Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC
A-LeagueSat 21 Nov, 06:00 Australia time

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC prediction

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast Mariners FCHome
1.49 : 1.60
expected goals
Perth Glory FCAway
35%CC Mariners
25%Draw
40%Perth Glory
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC is Perth Glory FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Perth Glory FC to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Central Coast Mariners FC 1.5, Perth Glory FC 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Central Coast Mariners FC to win
34% chancePrice 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Coast Mariners FC 35%, the draw 25% and Perth Glory FC 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Perth Glory FC the favourite at 2.10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Coast Mariners FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and Perth Glory FC took 9 from 5. Perth Glory FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Coast Mariners FC won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Perth Glory FC won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Coast Mariners FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Perth Glory FC score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Central Coast Mariners FC games and 15 of Perth Glory FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Central Coast Mariners FC won 1 and Perth Glory FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Central Coast Mariners FC 2, Perth Glory FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CC Marinersrecent form-4%
  • Perth Gloryrecent form+1%
CC Mariners form L D L D LPerth Glory form W W L L WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC: Perth Glory FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Coast Mariners FC host Perth Glory FC in the A-League on Sat 21 Nov, 06:00 at Central Coast Stadium. Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC is Perth Glory FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Central Coast Mariners FC form

Central Coast Mariners FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Perth Glory FC form

Perth Glory FC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Central Coast Mariners FC won 1, Perth Glory FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Central Coast Mariners FC 2, Perth Glory FC 2.

Our call

We expect Central Coast Mariners FC to score about 1.5 goals and Perth Glory FC about 1.6. That points to Perth Glory FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Central Coast Mariners FC to win at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CC MarinersPerth Glory
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws86
Losses68
Goals scored2830
Goals conceded3431
Scored per game1.41.5
Conceded per game1.71.6
Home record2W 6D 0L6W 1D 2L
Away record4W 2D 6L0W 5D 6L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Central Coast Mariners FC to win34%2.922.90-0.8%
A Draw25%4.073.80-6.7%
Perth Glory FC to win39%2.572.10-18.4%
Over 3.5 goals39%2.562.20-14.0%
Under 3.5 goals54%1.861.56-16.2%
Central Coast Mariners FC +0.551%1.951.65-15.6%
Perth Glory FC -0.542%2.402.00-16.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score63%1.60
Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw60%1.67
Perth Glory FC or Draw65%1.54
Central Coast Mariners FC to win and Over 2.524%4.20
Perth Glory FC to win and Over 2.527%3.64
Central Coast Mariners FC clean sheet20%4.98
Perth Glory FC clean sheet23%4.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-16.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC?

Our prediction for Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC is Perth Glory FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Central Coast Mariners FC to score 1.5 goals and Perth Glory FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Central Coast Mariners FC last 20 games and 14 of Perth Glory FC last 20.

How are Central Coast Mariners FC playing?

Central Coast Mariners FC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Perth Glory FC playing?

Perth Glory FC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Central Coast Mariners FC and Perth Glory FC last met?

It ended Central Coast Mariners FC 2, Perth Glory FC 2. In the last 3 meetings Central Coast Mariners FC won 1 and Perth Glory FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Central Coast Mariners FC vs Perth Glory FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CC Mariners against Perth Glory. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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