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Predictions › Argentina › Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 10 Oct, 20:00 Argentina time

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction

Alfredo Terrera

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Home
0.84 : 0.88
expected goals
Estudiantes de La PlataAway
31%C. Córdoba (SE)
35%Draw
33%Estudiantes
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
35%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.8, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.9
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
19% chanceFair price 5.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 31%, the draw 35% and Estudiantes de La Plata 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 2 points from their last 5 games and Estudiantes de La Plata took 7 from 5. Estudiantes de La Plata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Estudiantes de La Plata won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games and 5 of Estudiantes de La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estudiantes de La Plata 5, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • C. Córdoba (SE)recent form-4%
C. Córdoba (SE) form D L L D LEstudiantes form L L W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) host Estudiantes de La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 at Alfredo Terrera. Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0, Estudiantes de La Plata won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estudiantes de La Plata 5, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

Our call

We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score about 0.8 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata about 0.9. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

C. Córdoba (SE)Estudiantes
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws45
Losses118
Goals scored1721
Goals conceded3017
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.50.8
Home record4W 1D 5L4W 4D 2L
Away record1W 3D 6L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored40%30%
Over 2.5 goals40%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals52%1.93
Over 2.5 goals25%4.05
Over 3.5 goals10%10.48
Both teams to score34%2.95
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw67%1.50
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw69%1.45
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.511%9.49
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.511%8.70
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet42%2.41
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet43%2.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-018.8%
0-115.0%
1-014.3%
1-114.0%
0-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 0.8 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata 0.9.

Will both teams score in Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20 games and 6 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) and Estudiantes de La Plata last met?

It ended Estudiantes de La Plata 5, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0. In the last 2 meetings Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 2.

What is the best bet for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C. Córdoba (SE) against Estudiantes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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