Predictions › Argentina › Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús prediction

Alfredo Terrera

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Home
0.77 : 1.64
expected goals
LanúsAway
17%C. Córdoba (SE)
26%Draw
58%Lanús
Eagle safe pickLanús or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Lanús to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.8, Lanús 1.6
Best bet
Lanús or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lanús or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lanús to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 17%, the draw 26% and Lanús 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lanús took 11 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Lanús won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Lanús score 0.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games and 6 of Lanús games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Lanús won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lanús 0, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lanús or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • C. Córdoba (SE)recent form-1%
  • Lanús recent form+4%
C. Córdoba (SE) form D L D D DLanús form D W W D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús: Lanús are favourites

The big picture

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) host Lanús in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Alfredo Terrera. Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.20.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Lanús form

Lanús have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0, Lanús won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lanús 0, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

Our call

We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score about 0.8 goals and Lanús about 1.6. That points to Lanús to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Lanús to win and Over 2.5 at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

C. Córdoba (SE)Lanús
Games played2020
Wins39
Draws54
Losses127
Goals scored1719
Goals conceded3718
Scored per game0.80.9
Conceded per game1.90.9
Home record2W 2D 6L6W 2D 2L
Away record1W 3D 6L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%50%
Both teams scored50%25%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.31
Over 3.5 goals22%4.47
Both teams to score44%2.28
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw42%2.36
Lanús or Draw83%1.20
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.58%12.85
Lanús to win and Over 2.531%3.18
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet19%5.18
Lanús clean sheet46%2.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.1%
0-212.1%
1-112.0%
0-09.6%
1-29.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús?

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 0.8 goals and Lanús 1.6.

Will both teams score in Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20 games and 5 of Lanús last 20.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Lanús playing?

Lanús have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) and Lanús last met?

It ended Lanús 0, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0. In the last 1 meeting Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Lanús won 0.

What is the best bet for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Lanús?

Lanús or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C. Córdoba (SE) against Lanús . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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