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Predictions › Argentina › Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 26 Oct, 00:30 Argentina time

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield prediction

Alfredo Terrera

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Home
0.99 : 1.44
expected goals
Vélez SarsfieldAway
25%C. Córdoba (SE)
28%Draw
47%Vélez
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield is Vélez Sarsfield to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Vélez Sarsfield to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1.0, Vélez Sarsfield 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 25%, the draw 28% and Vélez Sarsfield 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 3 points from their last 5 games and Vélez Sarsfield took 8 from 5. Vélez Sarsfield come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Vélez Sarsfield won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Vélez Sarsfield score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games and 6 of Vélez Sarsfield games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Vélez Sarsfield won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vélez Sarsfield 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • C. Córdoba (SE)recent form-3%
  • Vélez recent form+3%
C. Córdoba (SE) form D D D L LVélez form D D W D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield: Vélez Sarsfield are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) host Vélez Sarsfield in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 26 Oct, 00:30 at Alfredo Terrera. Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield is Vélez Sarsfield to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Vélez Sarsfield form

Vélez Sarsfield have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0, Vélez Sarsfield won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vélez Sarsfield 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.

Our call

We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score about 1.0 goals and Vélez Sarsfield about 1.4. That points to Vélez Sarsfield to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

C. Córdoba (SE)Vélez
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws69
Losses104
Goals scored1825
Goals conceded3121
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 2D 5L5W 4D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 5D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.39
Both teams to score49%2.05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw53%1.87
Vélez Sarsfield or Draw75%1.34
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.513%7.72
Vélez Sarsfield to win and Over 2.526%3.91
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet24%4.21
Vélez Sarsfield clean sheet37%2.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-111.9%
0-09.6%
0-29.1%
1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield is Vélez Sarsfield to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 1.0 goals and Vélez Sarsfield 1.4.

Will both teams score in Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20 games and 11 of Vélez Sarsfield last 20.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Vélez Sarsfield playing?

Vélez Sarsfield have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) and Vélez Sarsfield last met?

It ended Vélez Sarsfield 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0. In the last 1 meeting Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Vélez Sarsfield won 1.

What is the best bet for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C. Córdoba (SE) against Vélez . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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