Predictions › Uruguay › Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC

Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Uruguay time

Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC prediction

Estadio Parque Palermo

Central Español Fútbol ClubHome

0.92 : 1.05

expected goals

Albion FCAway

30%Central Español

33%Draw

37%Albion

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC is Albion FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: Albion FC to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Central Español Fútbol Club 0.9, Albion FC 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

15% chanceFair price 6.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Central Español Fútbol Club 30%, the draw 33% and Albion FC 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Central Español Fútbol Club took 1 point from their last 5 games and Albion FC took 6 from 5. Albion FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Central Español Fútbol Club won 4 of their last 12 games at home. Albion FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Central Español Fútbol Club score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Albion FC score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Central Español Fútbol Club games and 11 of Albion FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and Albion FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Albion FC 6, Central Español Fútbol Club 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Central Españolrecent form-4%
Albionrecent form-3%
Central Españolrest between games-2%
Albionrest between games-2%

Central Español form D L L L DAlbion form D W L L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC: Albion FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Español Fútbol Club host Albion FC in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Estadio Parque Palermo. Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC is Albion FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Albion FC form

Albion FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Central Español Fútbol Club won 0, Albion FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Albion FC 6, Central Español Fútbol Club 1.

Our call

We expect Central Español Fútbol Club to score about 0.9 goals and Albion FC about 1.1. That points to Albion FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Central Español	Albion
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	5	3
Losses	10	11
Goals scored	15	22
Goals conceded	24	29
Scored per game	0.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.2	1.4
Home record	4W 3D 5L	2W 2D 5L
Away record	1W 2D 5L	4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	40%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	59%	1.68
Over 2.5 goals	32%	3.17
Over 3.5 goals	14%	7.27
Both teams to score	40%	2.51
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw	63%	1.59
Albion FC or Draw	70%	1.43
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.15
Albion FC to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.40
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet	35%	2.86
Albion FC clean sheet	40%	2.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.8%

1-114.3%

0-113.9%

1-012.0%

0-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC?

Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC is Albion FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Central Español Fútbol Club to score 0.9 goals and Albion FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20 games and 12 of Albion FC last 20.

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

How are Albion FC playing?

What happened when Central Español Fútbol Club and Albion FC last met?

It ended Albion FC 6, Central Español Fútbol Club 1. In the last 1 meeting Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and Albion FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Albion FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Central Español against Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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