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Predictions › Uruguay › Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 14 Nov, 13:00 Uruguay time

Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River prediction

Estadio Parque Palermo

Central Español Fútbol ClubHome
1.29 : 1.43
expected goals
Boston RiverAway
33%Central Español
27%Draw
40%Boston River
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River is Boston River to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Boston River to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Central Español Fútbol Club 1.3, Boston River 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Español Fútbol Club 33%, the draw 27% and Boston River 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Español Fútbol Club took 3 points from their last 5 games and Boston River took 7 from 5. Boston River come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Español Fútbol Club won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Boston River won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Español Fútbol Club score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Boston River score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Central Español Fútbol Club games and 10 of Boston River games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and Boston River won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Boston River 0, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Central Españolrecent form-4%
Central Español form W L L L LBoston River form L L W W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River: Boston River shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Español Fútbol Club host Boston River in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 14 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Parque Palermo. Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River is Boston River to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Boston River form

Boston River have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Central Español Fútbol Club won 0, Boston River won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Boston River 0, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.

Our call

We expect Central Español Fútbol Club to score about 1.3 goals and Boston River about 1.4. That points to Boston River to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Central EspañolBoston River
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws55
Losses1110
Goals scored1220
Goals conceded2627
Scored per game0.61.0
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record2W 3D 6L2W 4D 3L
Away record2W 2D 5L3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.46
Both teams to score56%1.79
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw60%1.66
Boston River or Draw67%1.50
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.520%5.03
Boston River to win and Over 2.524%4.13
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet24%4.17
Boston River clean sheet28%3.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-18.7%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River?

Our prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River is Boston River to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Central Español Fútbol Club to score 1.3 goals and Boston River 1.4.

Will both teams score in Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20 games and 10 of Boston River last 20.

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

Central Español Fútbol Club have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Boston River playing?

Boston River have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Central Español Fútbol Club and Boston River last met?

It ended Boston River 0, Central Español Fútbol Club 0. In the last 2 meetings Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and Boston River won 1.

What is the best bet for Central Español Fútbol Club vs Boston River?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Central Español against Boston River. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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