Predictions › Belgium › Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht

Belgian Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 14:00 Belgium time

Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht prediction

Jan Breydel Stadium

Cercle Brugge KSVHome

1.35 : 1.66

expected goals

AnderlechtAway

30%Cercle Brugge

25%Draw

44%Anderlecht

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht is Anderlecht to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Anderlecht to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cercle Brugge KSV 1.4, Anderlecht 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Anderlecht to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cercle Brugge KSV 30%, the draw 25% and Anderlecht 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Anderlecht the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Cercle Brugge KSV took 1 point from their last 5 games and Anderlecht took 10 from 5. Anderlecht come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cercle Brugge KSV won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Anderlecht won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Cercle Brugge KSV score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Anderlecht score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Cercle Brugge KSV games and 13 of Anderlecht games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 and Anderlecht won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Anderlecht 2, Cercle Brugge KSV 3.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cercle Bruggerecent form-6%
Anderlechtrecent form+3%

Cercle Brugge form L D L L LAnderlecht form W L W D WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht: Anderlecht shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cercle Brugge KSV host Anderlecht in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 at Jan Breydel Stadium. Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht is Anderlecht to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Cercle Brugge KSV form

Cercle Brugge KSV have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Anderlecht form

Anderlecht have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cercle Brugge KSV won 1, Anderlecht won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Anderlecht 2, Cercle Brugge KSV 3.

Our call

We expect Cercle Brugge KSV to score about 1.4 goals and Anderlecht about 1.7. That points to Anderlecht to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Anderlecht to win and Over 2.5 at 3.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cercle Brugge	Anderlecht
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	5	3
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	33	26
Goals conceded	37	34
Scored per game	1.6	1.3
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	2W 2D 5L	5W 2D 4L
Away record	4W 3D 4L	2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Cercle Brugge KSV to win	29%	3.39	3.25	-4.2%
A Draw	25%	4.06	3.60	-11.3%
Anderlecht to win	41%	2.42	2.00	-17.5%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.85	1.61	-13.2%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.52	2.15	-14.7%
Cercle Brugge KSV +0.5	50%	1.98	1.71	-13.6%
Anderlecht -0.5	43%	2.31	1.91	-17.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.83
Both teams to score	61%	1.65
Cercle Brugge KSV or Draw	56%	1.79
Anderlecht or Draw	70%	1.44
Cercle Brugge KSV to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.00
Anderlecht to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.35
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet	19%	5.25
Anderlecht clean sheet	26%	3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

1-29.2%

0-17.6%

2-17.4%

0-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht is Anderlecht to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Cercle Brugge KSV to score 1.4 goals and Anderlecht 1.7.

Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Cercle Brugge KSV last 20 games and 12 of Anderlecht last 20.

How are Cercle Brugge KSV playing?

How are Anderlecht playing?

What happened when Cercle Brugge KSV and Anderlecht last met?

It ended Anderlecht 2, Cercle Brugge KSV 3. In the last 1 meeting Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 and Anderlecht won 0.

What is the best bet for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cercle Brugge against Anderlecht. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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