Predictions › Belgium › Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo

Belgian Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 19:45 Belgium time

Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo prediction

Jan Breydel Stadium

Cercle Brugge KSVHome

1.66 : 1.52

expected goals

KVC WesterloAway

41%Cercle Brugge

25%Draw

35%Westerlo

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo is Cercle Brugge KSV to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Cercle Brugge KSV to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cercle Brugge KSV 1.7, KVC Westerlo 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

KVC Westerlo to win

34% chancePrice 3.10+5.2% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cercle Brugge KSV 41%, the draw 25% and KVC Westerlo 35%. The bookmakers agree and make Cercle Brugge KSV the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Cercle Brugge KSV took 6 points from their last 5 games and KVC Westerlo took 7 from 5. KVC Westerlo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cercle Brugge KSV won 3 of their last 9 games at home. KVC Westerlo won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Cercle Brugge KSV score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. KVC Westerlo score 1.9 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Cercle Brugge KSV games and 16 of KVC Westerlo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 and KVC Westerlo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended KVC Westerlo 0, Cercle Brugge KSV 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cercle Bruggerecent form-1%

Cercle Brugge form W W L L LWesterlo form L L D W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo: Cercle Brugge KSV shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cercle Brugge KSV host KVC Westerlo in the Belgian Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 19:45 at Jan Breydel Stadium. Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo is Cercle Brugge KSV to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Cercle Brugge KSV form

Cercle Brugge KSV have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

KVC Westerlo form

KVC Westerlo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cercle Brugge KSV won 1, KVC Westerlo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished KVC Westerlo 0, Cercle Brugge KSV 2.

Our call

We expect Cercle Brugge KSV to score about 1.7 goals and KVC Westerlo about 1.5. That points to Cercle Brugge KSV to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is KVC Westerlo to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cercle Brugge	Westerlo
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	10
Goals scored	33	38
Goals conceded	40	47
Scored per game	1.6	1.9
Conceded per game	2.0	2.4
Home record	3W 1D 5L	2W 3D 5L
Away record	3W 3D 5L	5W 0D 5L
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Both teams scored	75%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Cercle Brugge KSV to win	40%	2.52	2.00	-20.8%
A Draw	24%	4.15	3.90	-6.0%
KVC Westerlo to win	34%	2.95	3.10	+5.2%
Over 3.5 goals	42%	2.39	2.00	-16.3%
Under 3.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.67	-14.5%
Cercle Brugge KSV -0.5	43%	2.31	1.91	-17.3%
KVC Westerlo +0.5	50%	2.01	1.74	-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.54
Both teams to score	64%	1.56
Cercle Brugge KSV or Draw	65%	1.53
KVC Westerlo or Draw	59%	1.69
Cercle Brugge KSV to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.48
KVC Westerlo to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.15
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet	22%	4.57
KVC Westerlo clean sheet	19%	5.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%

2-18.7%

1-28.0%

2-26.6%

1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo?

Our prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo is Cercle Brugge KSV to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Cercle Brugge KSV to score 1.7 goals and KVC Westerlo 1.5.

Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Cercle Brugge KSV last 20 games and 13 of KVC Westerlo last 20.

How are Cercle Brugge KSV playing?

How are KVC Westerlo playing?

What happened when Cercle Brugge KSV and KVC Westerlo last met?

It ended KVC Westerlo 0, Cercle Brugge KSV 2. In the last 1 meeting Cercle Brugge KSV won 1 and KVC Westerlo won 0.

What is the best bet for Cercle Brugge KSV vs KVC Westerlo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cercle Brugge against Westerlo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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