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Predictions › Japan › Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo
J1 LeagueSat 21 Nov, 06:00 Japan time

Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo prediction

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo OsakaHome
0.82 : 1.79
expected goals
FC TokyoAway
16%Cerezo Osaka
24%Draw
60%Tokyo
Eagle safe pickFC Tokyo or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Cerezo Osaka 0.8, FC Tokyo 1.8
Best bet
FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Tokyo or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerezo Osaka 16%, the draw 24% and FC Tokyo 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerezo Osaka took 5 points from their last 5 games and FC Tokyo took 13 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerezo Osaka won 5 of their last 10 games at home. FC Tokyo won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerezo Osaka score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.7. FC Tokyo score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cerezo Osaka games and 11 of FC Tokyo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 1 and FC Tokyo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Tokyo 1, Cerezo Osaka 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Tokyo or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerezo Osakarecent form-1%
  • Tokyorecent form+6%
Cerezo Osaka form W L D D LTokyo form W W W D WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerezo Osaka host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Sat 21 Nov, 06:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cerezo Osaka won 1, FC Tokyo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Tokyo 1, Cerezo Osaka 3.

Our call

We expect Cerezo Osaka to score about 0.8 goals and FC Tokyo about 1.8. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerezo OsakaTokyo
Games played2020
Wins811
Draws75
Losses54
Goals scored3438
Goals conceded3418
Scored per game1.71.9
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record5W 4D 1L7W 1D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L4W 4D 1L
Clean sheets20%60%
Both teams scored70%30%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.75
Both teams to score47%2.11
Cerezo Osaka or Draw40%2.47
FC Tokyo or Draw84%1.19
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.58%11.93
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.535%2.83
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet17%5.98
FC Tokyo clean sheet44%2.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.5%
0-211.7%
1-111.5%
1-29.7%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Cerezo Osaka to score 0.8 goals and FC Tokyo 1.8.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Cerezo Osaka last 20 games and 6 of FC Tokyo last 20.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo last met?

It ended FC Tokyo 1, Cerezo Osaka 3. In the last 2 meetings Cerezo Osaka won 1 and FC Tokyo won 0.

What is the best bet for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerezo Osaka against Tokyo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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