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Predictions › Japan › Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
J1 LeagueSun 25 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo OsakaHome
1.92 : 0.77
expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaAway
64%Cerezo Osaka
22%Draw
14%JEF Utd Chiba
Eagle safe pickCerezo Osaka or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Cerezo Osaka to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Cerezo Osaka 1.9, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.8
Best bet
Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cerezo Osaka or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerezo Osaka 64%, the draw 22% and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerezo Osaka took 6 points from their last 5 games and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 5 from 5. Cerezo Osaka come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerezo Osaka won 6 of their last 10 games at home. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Cerezo Osaka games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Cerezo Osaka or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-1%
Cerezo Osaka form D D L D WJEF Utd Chiba form D L D W LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: Cerezo Osaka are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerezo Osaka host JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in the J1 League on Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cerezo Osaka to score about 1.9 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba about 0.8. That points to Cerezo Osaka to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.5 at 2.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerezo OsakaJEF Utd Chiba
Games played2020
Wins92
Draws74
Losses414
Goals scored3120
Goals conceded2440
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game1.22.0
Home record6W 4D 0L1W 2D 6L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Both teams to score46%2.15
Cerezo Osaka or Draw86%1.16
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw36%2.77
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.539%2.56
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.57%14.20
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet46%2.16
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet15%6.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.5%
1-012.4%
1-110.6%
2-19.6%
3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Cerezo Osaka to score 1.9 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.8.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cerezo Osaka last 20 games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Cerezo Osaka or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerezo Osaka against JEF Utd Chiba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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