Predictions › Japan › Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo OsakaHome
1.32 : 0.85
expected goals
Kawasaki FrontaleAway
47%Cerezo Osaka
30%Draw
23%Kawasaki
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Cerezo Osaka to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Cerezo Osaka 1.3, Kawasaki Frontale 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 6.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerezo Osaka 47%, the draw 30% and Kawasaki Frontale 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerezo Osaka took 5 points from their last 5 games and Kawasaki Frontale took 10 from 5. Kawasaki Frontale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerezo Osaka won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Kawasaki Frontale won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Kawasaki Frontale score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Cerezo Osaka games and 10 of Kawasaki Frontale games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cerezo Osaka won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cerezo Osaka 2, Kawasaki Frontale 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerezo Osakarecent form-1%
  • Kawasakirecent form+3%
Cerezo Osaka form D L D W LKawasaki form D W W L WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: Cerezo Osaka are favourites

The big picture

Cerezo Osaka host Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 06:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cerezo Osaka won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cerezo Osaka 2, Kawasaki Frontale 0.

Our call

We expect Cerezo Osaka to score about 1.3 goals and Kawasaki Frontale about 0.8. That points to Cerezo Osaka to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerezo OsakaKawasaki
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws65
Losses57
Goals scored3129
Goals conceded2728
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record6W 3D 0L5W 3D 2L
Away record3W 3D 5L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%10%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.72
Over 3.5 goals17%5.75
Both teams to score43%2.34
Cerezo Osaka or Draw77%1.30
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw53%1.88
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.522%4.44
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.510%9.75
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet43%2.34
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet27%3.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.3%
1-113.6%
0-012.2%
2-09.9%
0-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Cerezo Osaka to score 1.3 goals and Kawasaki Frontale 0.8.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cerezo Osaka last 20 games and 13 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale last met?

It ended Cerezo Osaka 2, Kawasaki Frontale 0. In the last 1 meeting Cerezo Osaka won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 0.

What is the best bet for Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerezo Osaka against Kawasaki. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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