EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Japan › Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 LeagueSat 10 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo OsakaHome
1.44 : 1.26
expected goals
Yokohama F. MarinosAway
41%Cerezo Osaka
27%Draw
32%Yokohama FM
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Cerezo Osaka to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cerezo Osaka 1.4, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerezo Osaka 41%, the draw 27% and Yokohama F. Marinos 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerezo Osaka took 5 points from their last 5 games and Yokohama F. Marinos took 8 from 5. Yokohama F. Marinos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerezo Osaka won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Yokohama F. Marinos won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Cerezo Osaka games and 9 of Yokohama F. Marinos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cerezo Osaka won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Cerezo Osaka 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerezo Osakarecent form-1%
  • Yokohama FMrecent form+1%
Cerezo Osaka form D L D W LYokohama FM form W D W D LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Cerezo Osaka shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerezo Osaka host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sat 10 Oct, 05:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cerezo Osaka won 0, Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Cerezo Osaka 1.

Our call

We expect Cerezo Osaka to score about 1.4 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos about 1.3. That points to Cerezo Osaka to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.73.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerezo OsakaYokohama FM
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws65
Losses57
Goals scored3133
Goals conceded2727
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record6W 3D 0L3W 3D 4L
Away record3W 3D 5L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.51
Both teams to score55%1.81
Cerezo Osaka or Draw68%1.48
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw59%1.68
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.525%4.07
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.519%5.22
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet28%3.52
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet24%4.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-09.0%
2-18.8%
0-17.8%
1-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Cerezo Osaka to score 1.4 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos 1.3.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cerezo Osaka last 20 games and 11 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos last met?

It ended Yokohama F. Marinos 3, Cerezo Osaka 1. In the last 1 meeting Cerezo Osaka won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 1.

What is the best bet for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerezo Osaka against Yokohama FM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.