EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Uruguay › Cerro Largo vs Albion FC
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 11 Oct, 18:00 Uruguay time

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC prediction

Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro LargoHome
1.16 : 0.86
expected goals
Albion FCAway
42%Cerro Largo
32%Draw
26%Albion
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC is Cerro Largo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Cerro Largo to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Cerro Largo 1.2, Albion FC 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerro Largo 42%, the draw 32% and Albion FC 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerro Largo took 2 points from their last 5 games and Albion FC took 0 from 5. Cerro Largo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerro Largo won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Albion FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerro Largo score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Albion FC score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Cerro Largo games and 11 of Albion FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cerro Largo won 0 and Albion FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Albion FC 2, Cerro Largo 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerro Largorecent form-4%
  • Albionrecent form-7%
  • Albionrest between games-2%
Cerro Largo form L L D L DAlbion form L L L L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC: Cerro Largo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerro Largo host Albion FC in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC is Cerro Largo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Cerro Largo form

Cerro Largo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Albion FC form

Albion FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cerro Largo won 0, Albion FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Albion FC 2, Cerro Largo 2.

Our call

We expect Cerro Largo to score about 1.2 goals and Albion FC about 0.9. That points to Cerro Largo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerro LargoAlbion
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws83
Losses811
Goals scored1625
Goals conceded2128
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record2W 6D 3L2W 2D 5L
Away record2W 2D 5L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals20%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals61%1.64
Over 2.5 goals33%3.03
Over 3.5 goals15%6.78
Both teams to score41%2.47
Cerro Largo or Draw74%1.36
Albion FC or Draw58%1.72
Cerro Largo to win and Over 2.518%5.42
Albion FC to win and Over 2.511%9.21
Cerro Largo clean sheet42%2.37
Albion FC clean sheet31%3.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
1-114.0%
0-014.0%
0-110.6%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC is Cerro Largo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Cerro Largo to score 1.2 goals and Albion FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Cerro Largo last 20 games and 12 of Albion FC last 20.

How are Cerro Largo playing?

Cerro Largo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Albion FC playing?

Albion FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cerro Largo and Albion FC last met?

It ended Albion FC 2, Cerro Largo 2. In the last 1 meeting Cerro Largo won 0 and Albion FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerro Largo against Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.