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Predictions › Uruguay › Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 12 Sept, 23:00 Uruguay time

Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club prediction

Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro LargoHome
0-0
final score
Central Español Fútbol ClubAway
52%Cerro Largo
27%Draw
21%Central Español
Eagle safe pickCerro Largo or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro Largo to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Cerro Largo to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cerro Largo 1.6, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.9
Best bet
Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cerro Largo or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 unitswon
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cerro Largo to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.451 unitlost

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerro Largo 52%, the draw 27% and Central Español Fútbol Club 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerro Largo took 4 points from their last 5 games and Central Español Fútbol Club took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerro Largo won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Central Español Fútbol Club won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerro Largo score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Central Español Fútbol Club score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Cerro Largo games and 9 of Central Español Fútbol Club games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cerro Largo won 2 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Central Español Fútbol Club 0, Cerro Largo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cerro Largo or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerro Largorecent form-1%
  • Central Españolrecent form-3%
Cerro Largo form L D D D DCentral Español form D L L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club: Cerro Largo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerro Largo host Central Español Fútbol Club in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 12 Sept, 23:00 at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro Largo to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28.

Cerro Largo form

Cerro Largo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cerro Largo won 2, Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Central Español Fútbol Club 0, Cerro Largo 1.

Our call

We expect Cerro Largo to score about 1.6 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club about 0.9. That points to Cerro Largo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Cerro Largo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cerro LargoCentral Español
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws86
Losses77
Goals scored2022
Goals conceded2226
Scored per game1.01.1
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record3W 5D 2L5W 4D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.18
Both teams to score48%2.07
Cerro Largo or Draw79%1.27
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw48%2.08
Cerro Largo to win and Over 2.529%3.42
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.511%9.19
Cerro Largo clean sheet40%2.50
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet21%4.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-012.4%
2-010.3%
2-19.4%
0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Our prediction for Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro Largo to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Cerro Largo to score 1.6 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club 0.9.

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Cerro Largo last 20 games and 10 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20.

How are Cerro Largo playing?

Cerro Largo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

Central Español Fútbol Club have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Cerro Largo and Central Español Fútbol Club last met?

It ended Central Español Fútbol Club 0, Cerro Largo 1. In the last 2 meetings Cerro Largo won 2 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 0.

What is the best bet for Cerro Largo vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Cerro Largo or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerro Largo against Central Español. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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