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Predictions › Uruguay › Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 31 Oct, 16:00 Uruguay time

Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club prediction

Estadio Luis Tróccoli

CerroHome
1.05 : 0.58
expected goals
Central Español Fútbol ClubAway
46%Cerro
35%Draw
19%Central Español
Eagle safe pickCerro or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Cerro or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Cerro to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Cerro 1.1, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.6
Best bet
Cerro or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
29%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cerro or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
20% chanceFair price 4.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cerro 46%, the draw 35% and Central Español Fútbol Club 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cerro took 5 points from their last 5 games and Central Español Fútbol Club took 0 from 5. Cerro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cerro won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cerro score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Central Español Fútbol Club score 0.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cerro games and 7 of Central Español Fútbol Club games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cerro won 1 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cerro 1, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cerro or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cerrorecent form-1%
  • Central Españolrecent form-6%
Cerro form D W L D LCentral Español form D L L L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club: Cerro are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cerro host Central Español Fútbol Club in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 at Estadio Luis Tróccoli. Our prediction for Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Cerro or Draw at 1.25.

Cerro form

Cerro have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cerro won 1, Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cerro 1, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.

Our call

We expect Cerro to score about 1.1 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club about 0.6. That points to Cerro to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cerro or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CerroCentral Español
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws45
Losses811
Goals scored1912
Goals conceded2524
Scored per game0.90.6
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record4W 1D 4L3W 3D 5L
Away record4W 3D 4L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored45%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals49%2.03
Over 2.5 goals22%4.45
Over 3.5 goals8%12.01
Both teams to score29%3.41
Cerro or Draw81%1.24
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw54%1.85
Cerro to win and Over 2.515%6.61
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.55%18.49
Cerro clean sheet56%1.79
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet35%2.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-020.3%
1-019.9%
1-112.6%
2-010.8%
0-110.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Our prediction for Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Cerro to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Cerro or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Cerro to score 1.1 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club 0.6.

Will both teams score in Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Both teams to score has a 29% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Cerro last 20 games and 7 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20.

How are Cerro playing?

Cerro have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

Central Español Fútbol Club have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cerro and Central Español Fútbol Club last met?

It ended Cerro 1, Central Español Fútbol Club 0. In the last 2 meetings Cerro won 1 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 1.

What is the best bet for Cerro vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Cerro or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cerro against Central Español. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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