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Predictions › Italy › Cesena vs Catanzaro
Serie BSat 7 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction

Estadio Dino Manuzzi

CesenaHome
1.58 : 1.38
expected goals
CatanzaroAway
42%Cesena
26%Draw
33%Catanzaro
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cesena vs Catanzaro is Cesena to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Cesena to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cesena 1.6, Catanzaro 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cesena to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cesena 42%, the draw 26% and Catanzaro 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cesena took 5 points from their last 5 games and Catanzaro took 2 from 5. Cesena come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cesena won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Catanzaro won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cesena score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Catanzaro score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Cesena games and 12 of Catanzaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cesena won 1 and Catanzaro won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cesena 3, Catanzaro 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cesenarecent form-3%
  • Catanzarorecent form-4%
  • Cesenarest between games-5%
  • Catanzarorest between games-5%
Cesena form D L D L DCatanzaro form D L D L LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cesena vs Catanzaro: Cesena shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cesena host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 at Estadio Dino Manuzzi. Our prediction for Cesena vs Catanzaro is Cesena to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Cesena form

Cesena have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Catanzaro form

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cesena won 1, Catanzaro won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cesena 3, Catanzaro 1.

Our call

We expect Cesena to score about 1.6 goals and Catanzaro about 1.4. That points to Cesena to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Cesena to win and Over 2.5 at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CesenaCatanzaro
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws106
Losses710
Goals scored2028
Goals conceded3137
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record2W 7D 2L4W 1D 4L
Away record1W 3D 5L0W 5D 6L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Both teams to score60%1.66
Cesena or Draw67%1.49
Catanzaro or Draw58%1.71
Cesena to win and Over 2.528%3.62
Catanzaro to win and Over 2.521%4.70
Cesena clean sheet25%3.97
Catanzaro clean sheet21%4.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%
1-07.5%
0-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Our prediction for Cesena vs Catanzaro is Cesena to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Cesena vs Catanzaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Cesena to score 1.6 goals and Catanzaro 1.4.

Will both teams score in Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Cesena last 20 games and 13 of Catanzaro last 20.

How are Cesena playing?

Cesena have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Catanzaro playing?

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cesena and Catanzaro last met?

It ended Cesena 3, Catanzaro 1. In the last 2 meetings Cesena won 1 and Catanzaro won 1.

What is the best bet for Cesena vs Catanzaro?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cesena against Catanzaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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