Predictions › United States › CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC

MLSWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Stade Saputo

CF MontréalHome

1.23 : 1.07

expected goals

Atlanta United FCAway

39%CF Montréal

30%Draw

31%Atlanta

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

-345

Quick answer

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC is CF Montréal to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -345.

Prediction: CF Montréal to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: CF Montréal 1.2, Atlanta United FC 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at -345
Both teams to score: 47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price -3452 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price +6141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives CF Montréal 39%, the draw 30% and Atlanta United FC 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
CF Montréal took 3 points from their last 5 games and Atlanta United FC took 6 from 5. Atlanta United FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
CF Montréal won 4 of their last 13 games at home. Atlanta United FC won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
CF Montréal score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of CF Montréal games and 13 of Atlanta United FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, CF Montréal won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlanta United FC 3, CF Montréal 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

CF Montréalrecent form-4%

CF Montréal form W L L L LAtlanta form D W D L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC: CF Montréal shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CF Montréal host Atlanta United FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at Stade Saputo. Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC is CF Montréal to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -345.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. CF Montréal won 0, Atlanta United FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlanta United FC 3, CF Montréal 1.

Our call

We expect CF Montréal to score about 1.2 goals and Atlanta United FC about 1.1. That points to CF Montréal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -345. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +614.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	CF Montréal	Atlanta
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	26	26
Goals conceded	35	33
Scored per game	1.3	1.3
Conceded per game	1.8	1.6
Home record	4W 5D 4L	3W 1D 5L
Away record	1W 1D 5L	3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	55%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	68%	-209
Over 2.5 goals	40%	+148
Over 3.5 goals	20%	+400
Both teams to score	47%	+112
CF Montréal or Draw	69%	-220
Atlanta United FC or Draw	61%	-157
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.5	20%	+405
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.5	15%	+546
CF Montréal clean sheet	34%	+192
Atlanta United FC clean sheet	29%	+241

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%

1-011.5%

0-010.9%

0-110.0%

2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC is CF Montréal to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -345.

What is the score prediction for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect CF Montréal to score 1.2 goals and Atlanta United FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of CF Montréal last 20 games and 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20.

How are CF Montréal playing?

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

What happened when CF Montréal and Atlanta United FC last met?

It ended Atlanta United FC 3, CF Montréal 1. In the last 1 meeting CF Montréal won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 1.

What is the best bet for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC?

Under 3.5 goals at -345, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CF Montréal against Atlanta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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