Predictions › United States › CF Montréal vs Nashville SC
MLSSat 24 Oct, 13:30 United States time

CF Montréal vs Nashville SC prediction

Stade Saputo

CF MontréalHome
0.94 : 1.35
expected goals
Nashville SCAway
25%CF Montréal
29%Draw
46%Nashville
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-361

Quick answer

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -361.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CF Montréal 0.9, Nashville SC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -361
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price -3612 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price +6351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CF Montréal 25%, the draw 29% and Nashville SC 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CF Montréal took 3 points from their last 5 games and Nashville SC took 10 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CF Montréal won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Nashville SC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CF Montréal score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Nashville SC score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of CF Montréal games and 12 of Nashville SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, CF Montréal won 0 and Nashville SC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Nashville SC 1, CF Montréal 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CF Montréalrecent form-3%
  • Nashvillerecent form+1%
CF Montréal form D W L L LNashville form D W W D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CF Montréal vs Nashville SC: Nashville SC are favourites

The big picture

CF Montréal host Nashville SC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 at Stade Saputo. Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -361.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. CF Montréal won 0, Nashville SC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Nashville SC 1, CF Montréal 0.

Our call

We expect CF Montréal to score about 0.9 goals and Nashville SC about 1.4. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -361. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +635.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CF MontréalNashville
Games played2020
Wins412
Draws65
Losses103
Goals scored2338
Goals conceded3617
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.80.8
Home record3W 5D 4L9W 1D 0L
Away record1W 1D 6L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%-207
Over 2.5 goals40%+149
Over 3.5 goals20%+404
Both teams to score46%+118
CF Montréal or Draw54%-119
Nashville SC or Draw75%-298
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.512%+735
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.523%+327
CF Montréal clean sheet26%+287
Nashville SC clean sheet39%+155

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-113.0%
0-010.9%
0-29.3%
1-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win CF Montréal vs Nashville SC?

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -361.

What is the score prediction for CF Montréal vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect CF Montréal to score 0.9 goals and Nashville SC 1.4.

Will both teams score in CF Montréal vs Nashville SC?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of CF Montréal last 20 games and 9 of Nashville SC last 20.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when CF Montréal and Nashville SC last met?

It ended Nashville SC 1, CF Montréal 0. In the last 2 meetings CF Montréal won 0 and Nashville SC won 1.

What is the best bet for CF Montréal vs Nashville SC?

Under 3.5 goals at -361, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CF Montréal against Nashville. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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