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Predictions › United States › CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

Stade Saputo

CF MontréalHome
0.90 : 1.67
expected goals
Vancouver WhitecapsAway
19%CF Montréal
26%Draw
55%Vancouver
Eagle safe pickVancouver Whitecaps or Draw
-418

Quick answer

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CF Montréal 0.9, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.7
Best bet
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw
81% chanceFair price -4182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price +2221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CF Montréal 19%, the draw 26% and Vancouver Whitecaps 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CF Montréal took 4 points from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 5 from 5. Vancouver Whitecaps come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CF Montréal won 1 of their last 12 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 6 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CF Montréal score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.9. Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of CF Montréal games and 12 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CF Montréalrecent form-1%
CF Montréal form D D L L WVancouver form D W D D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CF Montréal host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Stade Saputo. Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect CF Montréal to score about 0.9 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.7. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +222.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CF MontréalVancouver
Games played2020
Wins28
Draws75
Losses117
Goals scored2036
Goals conceded3925
Scored per game1.01.8
Conceded per game1.91.3
Home record1W 5D 6L2W 2D 3L
Away record1W 2D 5L6W 3D 4L
Clean sheets5%35%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%-276
Over 2.5 goals47%+111
Over 3.5 goals26%+288
Both teams to score49%+105
CF Montréal or Draw45%+122
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw81%-413
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.510%+881
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.532%+211
CF Montréal clean sheet19%+432
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet41%+146

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
0-112.1%
0-210.7%
1-29.6%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418.

What is the score prediction for CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect CF Montréal to score 0.9 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.7.

Will both teams score in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of CF Montréal last 20 games and 10 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -418, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CF Montréal against Vancouver. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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