Predictions › United States › Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green prediction

DATCU Stadium

Charlotte 49ersAway
16.0 : 42.5
projected points
North Texas Mean GreenHome
7%Charlotte
93%North Texas
Eagle safe pickOver 48.5 points
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 93% chance. We project Charlotte 49ers 16.0 and North Texas Mean Green 42.5. Our best bet is Over 48.5 points at -290.

Prediction
North Texas Mean Green to win
Chance
93%
Projected score
Charlotte 49ers 16, North Texas Mean Green 43
Projected total
58.5 points
Best bet
Over 48.5 points at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 48.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Texas Mean Green 93% and Charlotte 49ers 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Texas Mean Green won 3 of their last 5 and Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5. North Texas Mean Green come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Texas Mean Green won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Texas Mean Green score 44.1 points a game and let in 28.9. Charlotte 49ers score 16.9 and let in 37.6. Their recent games average 72.9 and 54.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, North Texas Mean Green won 1 and Charlotte 49ers won 0. The last one ended Charlotte 49ers 20, North Texas Mean Green 54.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 48.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green: North Texas Mean Green are favourites

The big picture

North Texas Mean Green host Charlotte 49ers in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 at DATCU Stadium. Our prediction for Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 93% chance. We project Charlotte 49ers 16.0 and North Texas Mean Green 42.5. Our best bet is Over 48.5 points at -290.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 705 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Charlotte 49ers form

Charlotte 49ers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 236 points scored and 526 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. North Texas Mean Green won 1, Charlotte 49ers won 0. Last time out it finished Charlotte 49ers 20, North Texas Mean Green 54.

Our call

We expect Charlotte 49ers to score about 16.0 points and North Texas Mean Green about 42.5. That points to North Texas Mean Green to win. Our safest bet is Over 48.5 points at -290.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

North TexasCharlotte
Games played1614
Wins121
Losses413
Points scored705236
Points conceded462526
Scored per game44.116.9
Conceded per game28.937.6
Home record7W 1L1W 6L
Away record5W 3L0W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

North Texas spreadCoversFair
North Texas -33.533%+202
North Texas -29.543%+135
North Texas -26.550%-100
North Texas -23.558%-135
North Texas -19.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
51.567%33%
55.558%42%
58.550%50%
61.543%57%
65.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. North Texas +3.5 wins if North Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green?

Our prediction for Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 93% chance. We project Charlotte 49ers 16.0 and North Texas Mean Green 42.5. Our best bet is Over 48.5 points at -290.

What is the projected score for Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green?

We project Charlotte 49ers 16.0 and North Texas Mean Green 42.5, about 58.5 points in total.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 705 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Charlotte 49ers playing?

Charlotte 49ers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 236 points scored and 526 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 7 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when North Texas Mean Green and Charlotte 49ers last met?

It ended Charlotte 49ers 20, North Texas Mean Green 54. In the last 1 meeting North Texas Mean Green won 1 and Charlotte 49ers won 0.

What is the best bet for Charlotte 49ers vs North Texas Mean Green?

Over 48.5 points at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in North Texas against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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