Predictions › United States › Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal

MLSWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal prediction

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FCHome

2.17 : 0.95

expected goals

CF MontréalAway

65%Charlotte

21%Draw

15%CF Montréal

Eagle safe pickCharlotte FC or Draw

-552

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal is Charlotte FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Charlotte FC or Draw at -552.

Prediction: Charlotte FC to win
Chance: 65%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Charlotte FC 2.2, CF Montréal 0.9
Best bet: Charlotte FC or Draw at -552
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Charlotte FC or Draw

85% chanceFair price -5522 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Charlotte FC to win and both score

30% chanceFair price +2371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Charlotte FC 65%, the draw 21% and CF Montréal 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Charlotte FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and CF Montréal took 4 from 5. Charlotte FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Charlotte FC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. CF Montréal won 1 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
Charlotte FC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. CF Montréal score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Charlotte FC games and 10 of CF Montréal games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Charlotte FC won 1 and CF Montréal won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended CF Montréal 1, Charlotte FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Charlotte FC or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

CF Montréalrecent form-3%
Charlotterest between games-5%
CF Montréalrest between games-5%

Charlotte form D L W L WCF Montréal form D L L W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal: Charlotte FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlotte FC host CF Montréal in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at Bank of America Stadium. Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal is Charlotte FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Charlotte FC or Draw at -552.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Charlotte FC won 1, CF Montréal won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished CF Montréal 1, Charlotte FC 2.

Our call

We expect Charlotte FC to score about 2.2 goals and CF Montréal about 0.9. That points to Charlotte FC to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Charlotte FC or Draw at -552. Our bold bet is Charlotte FC to win and both score at +237.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Charlotte	CF Montréal
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	3
Draws	6	7
Losses	5	10
Goals scored	35	22
Goals conceded	27	37
Scored per game	1.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	5W 3D 2L	2W 5D 5L
Away record	4W 3D 3L	1W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	-467
Over 2.5 goals	60%	-152
Over 3.5 goals	38%	+163
Both teams to score	55%	-122
Charlotte FC or Draw	85%	-572
CF Montréal or Draw	35%	+182
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5	45%	+121
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.5	9%	+986
Charlotte FC clean sheet	39%	+159
CF Montréal clean sheet	11%	+774

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.4%

2-19.9%

1-19.7%

1-09.0%

3-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?

Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal is Charlotte FC to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Charlotte FC or Draw at -552.

What is the score prediction for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Charlotte FC to score 2.2 goals and CF Montréal 0.9.

Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Charlotte FC last 20 games and 11 of CF Montréal last 20.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

How are CF Montréal playing?

What happened when Charlotte FC and CF Montréal last met?

It ended CF Montréal 1, Charlotte FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Charlotte FC won 1 and CF Montréal won 1.

What is the best bet for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?

Charlotte FC or Draw at -552, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlotte against CF Montréal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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