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Predictions › United States › Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas prediction

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FCHome
1.62 : 1.41
expected goals
FC DallasAway
42%Charlotte
25%Draw
33%Dallas
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-372

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas is Charlotte FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

Prediction
Charlotte FC to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Charlotte FC 1.6, FC Dallas 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -372
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlotte FC 42%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlotte FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and FC Dallas took 13 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. FC Dallas won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Charlotte FC score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Dallas score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Charlotte FC games and 14 of FC Dallas games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Charlotterecent form+1%
  • Dallasrecent form+6%
Charlotte form L W D W DDallas form W D W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas: Charlotte FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlotte FC host FC Dallas in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Bank of America Stadium. Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas is Charlotte FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Charlotte FC to score about 1.6 goals and FC Dallas about 1.4. That points to Charlotte FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372. Our bold bet is Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5 at +261.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CharlotteDallas
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws55
Losses65
Goals scored3435
Goals conceded2932
Scored per game1.71.8
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record4W 3D 2L4W 2D 2L
Away record5W 2D 4L6W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-434
Over 2.5 goals58%-141
Over 3.5 goals36%+177
Both teams to score61%-159
Charlotte FC or Draw67%-206
FC Dallas or Draw58%-138
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.528%+251
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.522%+358
Charlotte FC clean sheet24%+310
FC Dallas clean sheet20%+407

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%
1-07.1%
2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Our prediction for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas is Charlotte FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

What is the score prediction for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Charlotte FC to score 1.6 goals and FC Dallas 1.4.

Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Charlotte FC last 20 games and 13 of FC Dallas last 20.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are FC Dallas playing?

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Over 1.5 goals at -372, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlotte against Dallas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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