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Predictions › United States › Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks
NBAFri 20 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

State Farm Arena

Charlotte HornetsAway
114.0 : 112.4
projected points
Atlanta HawksHome
57%Hornets
43%Hawks
Eagle safe pickHornets +6.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 114.0 and Atlanta Hawks 112.4. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -302.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Charlotte Hornets 114, Atlanta Hawks 112
Projected total
226.4 points
Best bet
Hornets +6.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Hawks 43% and Charlotte Hornets 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 5 and Charlotte Hornets won 1 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte Hornets won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Hawks score 115.8 points a game and let in 118.0. Charlotte Hornets score 100.1 and let in 111.6. Their recent games average 233.8 and 211.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Atlanta Hawks won 2 and Charlotte Hornets won 3. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 81, Atlanta Hawks 128.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
  • Hornetsrest between games-5%
  • Hornetsteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks: Charlotte Hornets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta Hawks host Charlotte Hornets in the NBA on Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 at State Farm Arena. Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 114.0 and Atlanta Hawks 112.4. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -302.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2360 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2002 points scored and 2232 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Atlanta Hawks won 2, Charlotte Hornets won 3. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 81, Atlanta Hawks 128.

Our call

We expect Charlotte Hornets to score about 114.0 points and Atlanta Hawks about 112.4. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +6.5 at -302. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HawksHornets
Games played2020
Wins117
Losses913
Points scored23162002
Points conceded23602232
Scored per game115.8100.1
Conceded per game118.0111.6
Home record4W 6L5W 6L
Away record7W 3L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawks spreadCoversFair
Hawks -4.531%+221
Hawks -1.540%+149
Hawks +1.550%+102
Hawks +4.559%-144
Hawks +7.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
220.563%37%
223.556%44%
226.550%50%
229.543%57%
232.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawks +3.5 wins if Hawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Doncic Leads Lakers to Sixth Straight Victory in Return

Luka Doncic returned from a back injury to score 32 points as the Lakers beat the Hawks 124-114 for their sixth straight win.

21 hours ago
NBA

Kon Knueppel Out at Least Four Weeks with Hamstring Injury

Charlotte Hornets guard Kon Knueppel will miss at least four weeks after aggravating a left hamstring strain.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Trae Young Reflects on Atlanta Return After Wizards Loss

Trae Young played his first game back in Atlanta as a member of the Wizards, posting 23 points and 10 assists in a 139-132 defeat.

7 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks?

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 114.0 and Atlanta Hawks 112.4. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks?

We project Charlotte Hornets 114.0 and Atlanta Hawks 112.4, about 226.4 points in total.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2360 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2002 points scored and 2232 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Hawks and Charlotte Hornets last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 81, Atlanta Hawks 128. In the last 5 meetings Atlanta Hawks won 2 and Charlotte Hornets won 3.

What is the best bet for Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks?

Hornets +6.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawks against Hornets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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