Predictions › United States › Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets
NBAWed 21 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets prediction

Barclays Center

Charlotte HornetsAway
113.3 : 109.9
projected points
Brooklyn NetsHome
58%Hornets
42%Nets
Eagle safe pickHornets +5.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 113.3 and Brooklyn Nets 109.9. Our best bet is Hornets +5.5 at -310.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Charlotte Hornets 113, Brooklyn Nets 110
Projected total
223.2 points
Best bet
Hornets +5.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brooklyn Nets 42% and Charlotte Hornets 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Charlotte Hornets the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brooklyn Nets won 2 of their last 5 and Charlotte Hornets won 3 of their last 5. Charlotte Hornets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brooklyn Nets won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Charlotte Hornets won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Brooklyn Nets score 103.3 points a game and let in 115.3. Charlotte Hornets score 114.5 and let in 108.2. Their recent games average 218.7 and 222.7 points in total, and the market line is 223.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Brooklyn Nets won 2 and Charlotte Hornets won 2. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 90, Brooklyn Nets 124.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hornetsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets: Charlotte Hornets are favourites

The big picture

Brooklyn Nets host Charlotte Hornets in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 19:30 at Barclays Center. Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 113.3 and Brooklyn Nets 109.9. Our best bet is Hornets +5.5 at -310.

Brooklyn Nets form

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2066 points scored and 2307 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Brooklyn Nets won 2, Charlotte Hornets won 2. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 90, Brooklyn Nets 124.

Our call

We expect Charlotte Hornets to score about 113.3 points and Brooklyn Nets about 109.9. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +5.5 at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NetsHornets
Games played2020
Wins513
Losses157
Points scored20662289
Points conceded23072164
Scored per game103.3114.5
Conceded per game115.3108.2
Home record4W 7L9W 4L
Away record1W 8L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nets to win42%+138+110-11.8%
Hornets to win53%-111-130-7.0%
Nets +2.545%+123-110-14.5%
Hornets -2.550%+101-110-4.9%
Over 223.5 points47%+114-110-10.8%
Under 223.5 points48%+109-110-8.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Nets spreadCoversFair
Nets -2.532%+216
Nets +0.541%+146
Nets +3.550%-101
Nets +6.560%-148
Nets +9.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
217.562%38%
220.556%44%
223.549%51%
226.543%57%
229.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nets +3.5 wins if Nets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets?

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 113.3 and Brooklyn Nets 109.9. Our best bet is Hornets +5.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets?

We project Charlotte Hornets 113.3 and Brooklyn Nets 109.9, about 223.2 points in total.

How are Brooklyn Nets playing?

Brooklyn Nets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2066 points scored and 2307 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Brooklyn Nets and Charlotte Hornets last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 90, Brooklyn Nets 124. In the last 4 meetings Brooklyn Nets won 2 and Charlotte Hornets won 2.

What is the best bet for Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets?

Hornets +5.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nets against Hornets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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