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Predictions › United States › Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAFri 16 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Charlotte HornetsAway
121.2 : 111.7
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
79%Hornets
21%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickHornets to win
-325

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 79% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 121.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 111.7. Our best bet is Hornets to win at -325.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Charlotte Hornets 121, Memphis Grizzlies 112
Projected total
232.9 points
Best bet
Hornets to win at -325

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets to win
76% chanceFair price -3252 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 21% and Charlotte Hornets 79%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 1 of their last 5 and Charlotte Hornets won 2 of their last 5. Charlotte Hornets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte Hornets won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 112.5 points a game and let in 129.4. Charlotte Hornets score 114.3 and let in 108.8. Their recent games average 241.8 and 223.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 0 and Charlotte Hornets won 3. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 124, Memphis Grizzlies 101.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
  • Hornetsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies: Charlotte Hornets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Charlotte Hornets in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 79% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 121.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 111.7. Our best bet is Hornets to win at -325.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2249 points scored and 2588 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2175 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 0, Charlotte Hornets won 3. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 124, Memphis Grizzlies 101.

Our call

We expect Charlotte Hornets to score about 121.2 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 111.7. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets to win at -325.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesHornets
Games played2020
Wins313
Losses177
Points scored22492287
Points conceded25882175
Scored per game112.5114.3
Conceded per game129.4108.8
Home record2W 8L8W 4L
Away record1W 9L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies +3.532%+216
Grizzlies +6.541%+146
Grizzlies +9.550%-100
Grizzlies +12.560%-148
Grizzlies +15.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
226.564%36%
229.558%42%
232.551%49%
235.544%56%
238.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Memphis Grizzlies Waive Guard Jordan Hawkins After Recent Trade

The Memphis Grizzlies have waived guard Jordan Hawkins just three weeks after acquiring him in a trade with the New Orleans Pelicans.

3 Oct 2026
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 79% chance. We project Charlotte Hornets 121.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 111.7. Our best bet is Hornets to win at -325.

What is the projected score for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Charlotte Hornets 121.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 111.7, about 232.9 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2249 points scored and 2588 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2175 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Charlotte Hornets last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 124, Memphis Grizzlies 101. In the last 3 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 0 and Charlotte Hornets won 3.

What is the best bet for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Hornets to win at -325, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Hornets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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