Predictions › United States › Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards
NBAFri 30 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards prediction

Capital One Arena

Charlotte HornetsAway
116.7 : 118.1
projected points
Washington WizardsHome
51%Hornets
49%Wizards
Eagle safe pickHornets +9.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 116.7 and Washington Wizards 118.1. Our best bet is Hornets +9.5 at -299.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Charlotte Hornets 117, Washington Wizards 118
Projected total
234.8 points
Best bet
Hornets +9.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +9.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Wizards 49% and Charlotte Hornets 51%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Washington Wizards the favourite at -115, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Wizards won 2 of their last 5 and Charlotte Hornets won 1 of their last 5. Washington Wizards come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Wizards won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte Hornets won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Wizards score 113.8 points a game and let in 126.6. Charlotte Hornets score 113.0 and let in 108.5. Their recent games average 240.4 and 221.6 points in total, and the market line is 235.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Washington Wizards won 0 and Charlotte Hornets won 4. The last one ended Washington Wizards 112, Charlotte Hornets 129.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wizardsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards: Charlotte Hornets shade it

The big picture

Washington Wizards host Charlotte Hornets in the NBA on Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 116.7 and Washington Wizards 118.1. Our best bet is Hornets +9.5 at -299.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2532 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2261 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Washington Wizards won 0, Charlotte Hornets won 4. Last time out it finished Washington Wizards 112, Charlotte Hornets 129.

Our call

We expect Charlotte Hornets to score about 116.7 points and Washington Wizards about 118.1. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +9.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WizardsHornets
Games played2020
Wins312
Losses178
Points scored22762261
Points conceded25322170
Scored per game113.8113.0
Conceded per game126.6108.5
Home record1W 9L9W 4L
Away record2W 8L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wizards to win49%+102-115-7.5%
Hornets to win47%+114-105-8.7%
Wizards -1.548%+109-105-6.4%
Hornets +1.548%+107-115-9.8%
Over 235.5 points47%+112-110-10.0%
Under 235.5 points49%+104-110-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wizards spreadCoversFair
Wizards -7.531%+219
Wizards -4.540%+148
Wizards -1.550%+101
Wizards +1.559%-145
Wizards +4.568%-215
Total pointsOverUnder
228.564%36%
231.557%43%
234.551%49%
237.544%56%
240.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wizards +3.5 wins if Wizards win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards?

Our prediction for Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Charlotte Hornets 116.7 and Washington Wizards 118.1. Our best bet is Hornets +9.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards?

We project Charlotte Hornets 116.7 and Washington Wizards 118.1, about 234.8 points in total.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2532 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2261 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Wizards and Charlotte Hornets last met?

It ended Washington Wizards 112, Charlotte Hornets 129. In the last 4 meetings Washington Wizards won 0 and Charlotte Hornets won 4.

What is the best bet for Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards?

Hornets +9.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wizards against Hornets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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