Predictions › United Kingdom › Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City

ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City prediction

The Valley

Charlton AthleticHome

1.08 : 1.16

expected goals

Norwich CityAway

33%Charlton

30%Draw

37%Norwich City

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: Norwich City to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Charlton Athletic 1.1, Norwich City 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Charlton Athletic 33%, the draw 30% and Norwich City 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Charlton Athletic took 4 points from their last 5 games and Norwich City took 3 from 5. Charlton Athletic come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Charlton Athletic won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Norwich City won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Charlton Athletic score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Norwich City score 1.8 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Charlton Athletic games and 15 of Norwich City games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Charlton Athletic won 0 and Norwich City won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlton Athletic 0, Norwich City 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Charltonrecent form-1%
Norwich Cityrecent form-4%
Charltonrest between games-5%

Charlton form D D L D DNorwich City form L L L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City: Norwich City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlton Athletic host Norwich City in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 at The Valley. Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Charlton Athletic won 0, Norwich City won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlton Athletic 0, Norwich City 1.

Our call

We expect Charlton Athletic to score about 1.1 goals and Norwich City about 1.2. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Charlton	Norwich City
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	9
Draws	7	2
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	22	35
Goals conceded	32	36
Scored per game	1.1	1.8
Conceded per game	1.6	1.8
Home record	3W 3D 4L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	5W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	5%
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1/2
Over 2.5 goals	39%	8/5
Over 3.5 goals	19%	9/2
Both teams to score	46%	6/5
Charlton Athletic or Draw	63%	4/7
Norwich City or Draw	67%	1/2
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.5	16%	11/2
Norwich City to win and Over 2.5	18%	9/2
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	31%	11/5
Norwich City clean sheet	34%	2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%

0-111.6%

0-011.5%

1-010.7%

1-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City is Norwich City to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Charlton Athletic to score 1.1 goals and Norwich City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Charlton Athletic last 20 games and 15 of Norwich City last 20.

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

How are Norwich City playing?

What happened when Charlton Athletic and Norwich City last met?

It ended Charlton Athletic 0, Norwich City 1. In the last 2 meetings Charlton Athletic won 0 and Norwich City won 2.

What is the best bet for Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlton against Norwich City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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