Predictions › United Kingdom › Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United
ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United prediction

The Valley

Charlton AthleticHome
0.92 : 1.24
expected goals
Sheffield UnitedAway
27%Charlton
31%Draw
43%Sheffield Utd
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Sheffield United to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Charlton Athletic 0.9, Sheffield United 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlton Athletic 27%, the draw 31% and Sheffield United 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlton Athletic took 2 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield United took 7 from 5. Sheffield United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlton Athletic won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Sheffield United won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Charlton Athletic score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Sheffield United score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Charlton Athletic games and 13 of Sheffield United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Charlton Athletic won 2 and Sheffield United won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlton Athletic 1, Sheffield United 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Charltonrecent form-3%
Charlton form D L D D LSheffield Utd form D W L W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United: Sheffield United shade it

The big picture

Charlton Athletic host Sheffield United in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at The Valley. Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Charlton Athletic won 2, Sheffield United won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlton Athletic 1, Sheffield United 0.

Our call

We expect Charlton Athletic to score about 0.9 goals and Sheffield United about 1.2. That points to Sheffield United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CharltonSheffield Utd
Games played2020
Wins59
Draws74
Losses87
Goals scored2230
Goals conceded3425
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game1.71.3
Home record3W 3D 3L3W 2D 4L
Away record2W 4D 5L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%4/7
Over 2.5 goals37%7/4
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score44%5/4
Charlton Athletic or Draw57%8/11
Sheffield United or Draw73%4/11
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Charlton Athletic clean sheet29%5/2
Sheffield United clean sheet40%6/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-113.5%
0-012.3%
1-09.8%
0-28.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United?

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United is Sheffield United to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Charlton Athletic to score 0.9 goals and Sheffield United 1.2.

Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Charlton Athletic last 20 games and 12 of Sheffield United last 20.

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

Charlton Athletic have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Sheffield United playing?

Sheffield United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Charlton Athletic and Sheffield United last met?

It ended Charlton Athletic 1, Sheffield United 0. In the last 2 meetings Charlton Athletic won 2 and Sheffield United won 0.

What is the best bet for Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlton against Sheffield Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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