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Premier LeagueSat 24 Oct, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Stamford Bridge

ChelseaHome

1.76 : 1.26

expected goals

Tottenham HotspurAway

48%Chelsea

25%Draw

27%Spurs

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur is Chelsea to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: Chelsea to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.8, Tottenham Hotspur 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chelsea to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Chelsea 48%, the draw 25% and Tottenham Hotspur 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Chelsea took 7 points from their last 5 games and Tottenham Hotspur took 3 from 5. Chelsea come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Chelsea won 7 of their last 13 games at home. Tottenham Hotspur won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Chelsea score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Tottenham Hotspur score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Chelsea games and 11 of Tottenham Hotspur games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 2 and Tottenham Hotspur won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Chelsearecent form-1%
Spursrecent form-3%

Chelsea form D L D W LSpurs form D L L D DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Chelsea are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chelsea host Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 at Stamford Bridge. Our prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur is Chelsea to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Chelsea form

Chelsea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chelsea won 2, Tottenham Hotspur won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 1.

Our call

We expect Chelsea to score about 1.8 goals and Tottenham Hotspur about 1.3. That points to Chelsea to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Chelsea to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Chelsea	Spurs
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	5
Draws	2	6
Losses	10	9
Goals scored	36	24
Goals conceded	37	34
Scored per game	1.8	1.2
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	7W 1D 5L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	1W 1D 5L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	2/9
Over 2.5 goals	58%	8/11
Over 3.5 goals	36%	9/5
Both teams to score	60%	4/6
Chelsea or Draw	73%	4/11
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw	52%	10/11
Chelsea to win and Over 2.5	33%	2/1
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.5	17%	9/2
Chelsea clean sheet	28%	5/2
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet	17%	5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

2-19.5%

1-07.9%

2-07.5%

1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Shakhtar Donetsk Move Champions League Games to Stamford Bridge

Shakhtar Donetsk will play four Champions League home matches at Stamford Bridge in London this season.

12 Oct 2026

Premier League

Henderson Scores Twice on Chelsea Home Debut

Jordan Henderson scored two goals, including his first career direct free kick, as Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5-1.

11 Oct 2026

Premier League

Spurs Fight Back at Old Trafford as De Zerbi Sees Fresh Hope

Tottenham grabbed a late draw at Manchester United, giving manager Roberto De Zerbi something to build on during their trip to Spain.

11 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur is Chelsea to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Chelsea to score 1.8 goals and Tottenham Hotspur 1.3.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Chelsea last 20 games and 12 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20.

How are Chelsea playing?

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

What happened when Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur last met?

It ended Chelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 1. In the last 2 meetings Chelsea won 2 and Tottenham Hotspur won 0.

What is the best bet for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chelsea against Spurs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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