Predictions › India › Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC
Indian Super LeagueSat 21 Nov, 17:00 India time

Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC prediction

Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai)

Chennaiyin FCHome
1.46 : 1.58
expected goals
Punjab FCAway
35%Chennaiyin
25%Draw
40%Punjab FC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Punjab FC to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Chennaiyin FC 1.5, Punjab FC 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Punjab FC to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chennaiyin FC 35%, the draw 25% and Punjab FC 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chennaiyin FC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Punjab FC took 7 from 5. Punjab FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chennaiyin FC won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Punjab FC won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chennaiyin FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Punjab FC score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Chennaiyin FC games and 8 of Punjab FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chennaiyin FC won 0 and Punjab FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Punjab FC 1, Chennaiyin FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chennaiyinrecent form-1%
Chennaiyin form W D L L DPunjab FC form L W D W LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC: Punjab FC shade it

The big picture

Chennaiyin FC host Punjab FC in the Indian Super League on Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai). Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Chennaiyin FC form

Chennaiyin FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 15 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Punjab FC form

Punjab FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chennaiyin FC won 0, Punjab FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Punjab FC 1, Chennaiyin FC 0.

Our call

We expect Chennaiyin FC to score about 1.5 goals and Punjab FC about 1.6. That points to Punjab FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Punjab FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

ChennaiyinPunjab FC
Games played1817
Wins38
Draws55
Losses104
Goals scored1525
Goals conceded2818
Scored per game0.81.5
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record2W 3D 3L4W 3D 1L
Away record1W 2D 7L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets22%29%
Both teams scored50%59%
Over 2.5 goals33%47%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.77
Both teams to score62%1.62
Chennaiyin FC or Draw60%1.66
Punjab FC or Draw65%1.53
Chennaiyin FC to win and Over 2.523%4.31
Punjab FC to win and Over 2.527%3.70
Chennaiyin FC clean sheet21%4.85
Punjab FC clean sheet23%4.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-16.9%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Chennaiyin FC to score 1.5 goals and Punjab FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Chennaiyin FC last 18 games and 10 of Punjab FC last 17.

How are Chennaiyin FC playing?

Chennaiyin FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 15 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Punjab FC playing?

Punjab FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Chennaiyin FC and Punjab FC last met?

It ended Punjab FC 1, Chennaiyin FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Chennaiyin FC won 0 and Punjab FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chennaiyin against Punjab FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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