Predictions › India › Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC

Indian Super LeagueSat 7 Nov, 19:30 India time

Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC prediction

Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai)

Chennaiyin FCHome

0.82 : 2.42

expected goals

East Bengal FCAway

10%Chennaiyin

17%Draw

72%East Bengal

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC is East Bengal FC to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: East Bengal FC to win
Chance: 72%
Most likely score: 0-2
Expected goals: Chennaiyin FC 0.8, East Bengal FC 2.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

East Bengal FC to win and both score

31% chanceFair price 3.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Chennaiyin FC 10%, the draw 17% and East Bengal FC 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Chennaiyin FC took 1 point from their last 5 games and East Bengal FC took 11 from 5. East Bengal FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Chennaiyin FC won 1 of their last 6 games at home. East Bengal FC won 5 of their last 6 on the road.
4
Goals
Chennaiyin FC score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. East Bengal FC score 2.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Chennaiyin FC games and 11 of East Bengal FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Chennaiyin FC won 0 and East Bengal FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chennaiyin FC 1, East Bengal FC 3.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Chennaiyinrecent form-4%
East Bengalrecent form+1%
Chennaiyinrest between games-2%

Chennaiyin form D L D L LEast Bengal form D W W L DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC: East Bengal FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chennaiyin FC host East Bengal FC in the Indian Super League on Sat 7 Nov, 19:30 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai). Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC is East Bengal FC to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Chennaiyin FC form

Chennaiyin FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 10 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

East Bengal FC form

East Bengal FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 15 games, with 39 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chennaiyin FC won 0, East Bengal FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chennaiyin FC 1, East Bengal FC 3.

Our call

We expect Chennaiyin FC to score about 0.8 goals and East Bengal FC about 2.4. That points to East Bengal FC to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is East Bengal FC to win and both score at 3.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

	Chennaiyin	East Bengal
Games played	16	15
Wins	2	9
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	1
Goals scored	10	39
Goals conceded	25	12
Scored per game	0.6	2.6
Conceded per game	1.6	0.8
Home record	1W 2D 3L	4W 4D 1L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	5W 1D 0L
Clean sheets	19%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	31%	73%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	63%	1.59
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.46
Both teams to score	51%	1.94
Chennaiyin FC or Draw	28%	3.60
East Bengal FC or Draw	90%	1.12
Chennaiyin FC to win and Over 2.5	6%	15.96
East Bengal FC to win and Over 2.5	52%	1.93
Chennaiyin FC clean sheet	9%	11.21
East Bengal FC clean sheet	44%	2.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-211.5%

1-29.4%

0-39.2%

0-19.0%

1-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC?

Our prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC is East Bengal FC to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-3. We expect Chennaiyin FC to score 0.8 goals and East Bengal FC 2.4.

Will both teams score in Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Chennaiyin FC last 16 games and 9 of East Bengal FC last 15.

How are Chennaiyin FC playing?

How are East Bengal FC playing?

What happened when Chennaiyin FC and East Bengal FC last met?

It ended Chennaiyin FC 1, East Bengal FC 3. In the last 1 meeting Chennaiyin FC won 0 and East Bengal FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Chennaiyin FC vs East Bengal FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chennaiyin against East Bengal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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