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Predictions › United Kingdom › Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction

SMH Group Stadium

ChesterfieldHome
1.90 : 1.38
expected goals
Yeovil TownAway
49%Chesterfield
23%Draw
27%Yeovil
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town is Chesterfield to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Chesterfield to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Chesterfield 1.9, Yeovil Town 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chesterfield to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chesterfield 49%, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yeovilrecent form+1%
  • Chesterfieldrest between games-3%
Chesterfield form D D L D WYeovil form D L W D WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: Chesterfield are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chesterfield host Yeovil Town in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at SMH Group Stadium. Our prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town is Chesterfield to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Chesterfield form

Chesterfield have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

Yeovil Town form

Yeovil Town have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Chesterfield to score about 1.9 goals and Yeovil Town about 1.4. That points to Chesterfield to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Chesterfield to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 3 games in all competitions.

ChesterfieldYeovil
Games played3n/a
Wins1n/a
Draws0n/a
Losses2n/a
Goals scored2n/a
Goals conceded3n/a
Scored per game0.7n/a
Conceded per game1.0n/a
Home record0W 0D 1Ln/a
Away record1W 0D 1Ln/a
Clean sheets33%n/a
Both teams scored33%n/a
Over 2.5 goals33%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%7/5
Both teams to score64%4/7
Chesterfield or Draw73%4/11
Yeovil Town or Draw51%Evens
Chesterfield to win and Over 2.536%9/5
Yeovil Town to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Chesterfield clean sheet25%3/1
Yeovil Town clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.4%
2-06.8%
1-26.8%
1-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Our prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town is Chesterfield to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Chesterfield to score 1.9 goals and Yeovil Town 1.4.

Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance.

How are Chesterfield playing?

Chesterfield have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chesterfield against Yeovil. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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