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Predictions › United States › Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLSat 3 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Chicago BlackhawksAway
2.3 : 3.3
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
33%Blackhawks
67%Sabres
Eagle safe pickSabres to win
-218

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Sabres to win at -218.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
5.6 goals
Best bet
Sabres to win at -218

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sabres to win
67% chancePrice -2181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 67% and Chicago Blackhawks 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Sabres the favourite at -218.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5 and Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 5. Chicago Blackhawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Chicago Blackhawks score 2.4 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.9 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Chicago Blackhawks won 0. The last one ended Chicago Blackhawks 1, Buffalo Sabres 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sabres to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-5%
  • Blackhawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres: Buffalo Sabres are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Sabres to win at -218.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 2, Chicago Blackhawks won 0. Last time out it finished Chicago Blackhawks 1, Buffalo Sabres 5.

Our call

We expect Chicago Blackhawks to score about 2.3 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 3.3. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Sabres to win at -218.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresBlackhawks
Games played2020
Wins106
Losses1014
Goals scored6547
Goals conceded5571
Scored per game3.32.4
Conceded per game2.83.5
Home record4W 7L3W 7L
Away record6W 3L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sabres to win67%-202-218-2.5%
Blackhawks to win32%+215+180-11.2%
Sabres -1.538%+163+114-18.6%
Blackhawks +1.556%-126-135-3.0%
Over 5.5 goals49%+105-130-13.5%
Under 5.5 goals45%+123+110-5.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -1.541%+143
Sabres -0.558%-136
Sabres +0.573%-269
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.552%48%
6.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 67% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Sabres to win at -218.

What is the projected score for Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3, about 5.6 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Chicago Blackhawks last met?

It ended Chicago Blackhawks 1, Buffalo Sabres 5. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Chicago Blackhawks won 0.

What is the best bet for Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres?

Sabres to win at -218, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Blackhawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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