Predictions › United States › Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames
NHLSat 21 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Chicago BlackhawksAway
2.2 : 3.6
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
24%Blackhawks
76%Flames
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-444

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 76% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.2 and Calgary Flames 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -444.

Prediction
Calgary Flames to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Calgary Flames 4
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -444

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
82% chanceFair price -4442 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 76% and Chicago Blackhawks 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Blackhawks won 0 of their last 5. Calgary Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Chicago Blackhawks won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.5. Chicago Blackhawks score 2.1 and let in 4.0. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Calgary Flames won 1 and Chicago Blackhawks won 2. The last one ended Chicago Blackhawks 1, Calgary Flames 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary Flames are favourites

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 76% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.2 and Calgary Flames 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -444.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 79 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 1, Chicago Blackhawks won 2. Last time out it finished Chicago Blackhawks 1, Calgary Flames 3.

Our call

We expect Chicago Blackhawks to score about 2.2 goals and Calgary Flames about 3.6. That points to Calgary Flames to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -444.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesBlackhawks
Games played2020
Wins85
Losses1215
Goals scored5042
Goals conceded7179
Scored per game2.52.1
Conceded per game3.54.0
Home record6W 4L5W 5L
Away record2W 8L0W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -2.533%+208
Flames -1.549%+106
Flames -0.565%-184
Total goalsOverUnder
4.572%28%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 76% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.2 and Calgary Flames 3.6. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -444.

What is the projected score for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames?

We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.2 and Calgary Flames 3.6, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 79 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Chicago Blackhawks last met?

It ended Chicago Blackhawks 1, Calgary Flames 3. In the last 3 meetings Calgary Flames won 1 and Chicago Blackhawks won 2.

What is the best bet for Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames?

Over 4 goals at -444, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Blackhawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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