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Predictions › United States › Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights
NHLTue 29 Sept, 22:30 United States time

Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Chicago BlackhawksAway
2.3 : 3.4
projected goals
Vegas Golden KnightsHome
28%Blackhawks
72%Golden Knights
Eagle safe pickGolden Knights to win
-265

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 72% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.4. Our best bet is Golden Knights to win at -265.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Projected total
5.6 goals
Best bet
Golden Knights to win at -265

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Golden Knights to win
72% chancePrice -2651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vegas Golden Knights 72% and Chicago Blackhawks 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at -265.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vegas Golden Knights won 3 of their last 5 and Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vegas Golden Knights won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Chicago Blackhawks score 2.4 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.9 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Vegas Golden Knights won 2 and Chicago Blackhawks won 1. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Golden Knights to win has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
  • Blackhawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vegas Golden Knights host Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL on Tue 29 Sept, 22:30 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 72% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.4. Our best bet is Golden Knights to win at -265.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Vegas Golden Knights won 2, Chicago Blackhawks won 1. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0.

Our call

We expect Chicago Blackhawks to score about 2.3 goals and Vegas Golden Knights about 3.4. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Golden Knights to win at -265.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden KnightsBlackhawks
Games played2020
Wins136
Losses714
Goals scored6647
Goals conceded5571
Scored per game3.32.4
Conceded per game2.83.5
Home record6W 4L3W 7L
Away record7W 3L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Golden Knights to win72%-258-265-0.8%
Blackhawks to win29%+247+215-9.2%
Golden Knights -1.541%+147+105-17.0%
Blackhawks +1.553%-114-125-4.2%
Over 5.5 goals49%+104-135-14.7%
Under 5.5 goals45%+124+114-4.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Golden Knights spreadCoversFair
Golden Knights -2.528%+255
Golden Knights -1.544%+129
Golden Knights -0.560%-151
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.552%48%
6.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Golden Knights +3.5 wins if Golden Knights win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Our prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 72% chance. We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.4. Our best bet is Golden Knights to win at -265.

What is the projected score for Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights?

We project Chicago Blackhawks 2.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.4, about 5.6 goals in total.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0. In the last 3 meetings Vegas Golden Knights won 2 and Chicago Blackhawks won 1.

What is the best bet for Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Golden Knights to win at -265, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Knights against Blackhawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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