Predictions › United States › Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets
NBASun 11 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Chicago BullsAway
118.2 : 127.6
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
23%Bulls
77%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets to win
-332

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 77% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 118.2 and Denver Nuggets 127.6. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -332.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Chicago Bulls 118, Denver Nuggets 128
Projected total
245.8 points
Best bet
Nuggets to win at -332

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets to win
77% chanceFair price -3322 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 77% and Chicago Bulls 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 1 of their last 5 and Chicago Bulls won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Bulls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 12 of their last 13 games at home. Chicago Bulls won 4 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 122.4 points a game and let in 116.3. Chicago Bulls score 118.3 and let in 126.2. Their recent games average 238.8 and 244.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 2 and Chicago Bulls won 1. The last one ended Chicago Bulls 120, Denver Nuggets 136.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-3%
  • Bullsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Chicago Bulls in the NBA on Sun 11 Oct, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 77% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 118.2 and Denver Nuggets 127.6. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -332.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Chicago Bulls form

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2365 points scored and 2524 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 2, Chicago Bulls won 1. Last time out it finished Chicago Bulls 120, Denver Nuggets 136.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bulls to score about 118.2 points and Denver Nuggets about 127.6. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets to win at -332.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsBulls
Games played2020
Wins156
Losses514
Points scored24482365
Points conceded23272524
Scored per game122.4118.3
Conceded per game116.3126.2
Home record12W 1L2W 5L
Away record3W 4L4W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -15.531%+219
Nuggets -12.540%+148
Nuggets -9.550%+101
Nuggets -6.559%-145
Nuggets -3.568%-214
Total pointsOverUnder
239.564%36%
242.557%43%
245.551%49%
248.544%56%
251.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 77% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 118.2 and Denver Nuggets 127.6. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -332.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Chicago Bulls 118.2 and Denver Nuggets 127.6, about 245.8 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Bulls playing?

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2365 points scored and 2524 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Chicago Bulls last met?

It ended Chicago Bulls 120, Denver Nuggets 136. In the last 3 meetings Denver Nuggets won 2 and Chicago Bulls won 1.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets to win at -332, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Bulls. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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