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NBAWed 14 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Chicago BullsAway
120.7 : 121.5
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
50%Bulls
50%Bucks
Eagle safe pickBucks +7.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 120.7 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.5. Our best bet is Bucks +7.5 at -306.

Prediction
Chicago Bulls to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Chicago Bulls 121, Milwaukee Bucks 121
Projected total
242.2 points
Best bet
Bucks +7.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bucks +7.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bulls to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 50% and Chicago Bulls 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Bulls won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Chicago Bulls won 4 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 108.3 points a game and let in 120.9. Chicago Bulls score 118.3 and let in 126.2. Their recent games average 229.2 and 244.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 4 and Chicago Bulls won 1. The last one ended Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bucks +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-3%
  • Bullsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks: Chicago Bulls shade it

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Chicago Bulls in the NBA on Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 120.7 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.5. Our best bet is Bucks +7.5 at -306.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Chicago Bulls form

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2365 points scored and 2524 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 4, Chicago Bulls won 1. Last time out it finished Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bulls to score about 120.7 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 121.5. That points to Chicago Bulls to win. Our safest bet is Bucks +7.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Bulls to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksBulls
Games played2020
Wins56
Losses1514
Points scored21662365
Points conceded24182524
Scored per game108.3118.3
Conceded per game120.9126.2
Home record4W 6L2W 5L
Away record1W 9L4W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks -6.532%+210
Bucks -3.541%+142
Bucks -0.551%-103
Bucks +2.560%-152
Bucks +5.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
236.562%38%
239.556%44%
242.549%51%
245.543%57%
248.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 120.7 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.5. Our best bet is Bucks +7.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Chicago Bulls 120.7 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.5, about 242.2 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Bulls playing?

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2365 points scored and 2524 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls last met?

It ended Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97. In the last 5 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 4 and Chicago Bulls won 1.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Bucks +7.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Bulls. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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