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NBAFri 23 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Chicago BullsAway
121.1 : 121.1
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
52%Bulls
48%Bucks
Eagle safe pickBucks +8.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 121.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.1. Our best bet is Bucks +8.5 at -304.

Prediction
Chicago Bulls to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Chicago Bulls 121, Milwaukee Bucks 121
Projected total
242.2 points
Best bet
Bucks +8.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bucks +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 48% and Chicago Bulls 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Bulls won 1 of their last 5. Milwaukee Bucks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Chicago Bulls won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 108.5 points a game and let in 119.7. Chicago Bulls score 118.6 and let in 126.3. Their recent games average 228.3 and 244.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 4 and Chicago Bulls won 1. The last one ended Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bucks +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-2%
  • Bullsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks: Chicago Bulls shade it

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Chicago Bulls in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 121.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.1. Our best bet is Bucks +8.5 at -304.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2171 points scored and 2394 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Chicago Bulls form

Chicago Bulls have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2372 points scored and 2525 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 4, Chicago Bulls won 1. Last time out it finished Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bulls to score about 121.1 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 121.1. That points to Chicago Bulls to win. Our safest bet is Bucks +8.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksBulls
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Points scored21712372
Points conceded23942525
Scored per game108.5118.6
Conceded per game119.7126.3
Home record4W 5L3W 6L
Away record2W 9L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks -5.533%+204
Bucks -2.542%+138
Bucks +0.552%-106
Bucks +3.561%-156
Bucks +6.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
236.562%38%
239.556%44%
242.549%51%
245.543%57%
248.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks is Chicago Bulls to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bulls 121.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.1. Our best bet is Bucks +8.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Chicago Bulls 121.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 121.1, about 242.2 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2171 points scored and 2394 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Bulls playing?

Chicago Bulls have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2372 points scored and 2525 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls last met?

It ended Chicago Bulls 120, Milwaukee Bucks 97. In the last 5 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 4 and Chicago Bulls won 1.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Bucks +8.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Bulls. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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