EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox
MLBFri 25 Sept, 19:10 United States time

Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox prediction

Fenway Park

Chicago CubsAway
4.8 : 4.5
projected runs
Boston Red SoxHome
56%Cubs
44%Red Sox
Eagle safe pickRed Sox +2.5
-245

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox is Chicago Cubs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Cubs 4.8 and Boston Red Sox 4.5. Our best bet is Red Sox +2.5 at -245.

Prediction
Chicago Cubs to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Chicago Cubs 5, Boston Red Sox 4
Projected total
9.3 runs
Best bet
Red Sox +2.5 at -245

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Red Sox +2.5
71% chanceFair price -2451 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Sox to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Red Sox 44% and Chicago Cubs 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Red Sox won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Cubs won 3 of their last 5. Chicago Cubs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Red Sox won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Chicago Cubs won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Red Sox score 3.7 runs a game and let in 4.3. Chicago Cubs score 6.1 and let in 4.8. Their recent games average 8.0 and 10.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Red Sox +2.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Soxrest between games-2%
  • Cubsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox: Chicago Cubs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boston Red Sox host Chicago Cubs in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 19:10 at Fenway Park. Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox is Chicago Cubs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Cubs 4.8 and Boston Red Sox 4.5. Our best bet is Red Sox +2.5 at -245.

Boston Red Sox form

Boston Red Sox have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 runs scored and 85 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Chicago Cubs form

Chicago Cubs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 122 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Chicago Cubs to score about 4.8 runs and Boston Red Sox about 4.5. That points to Chicago Cubs to win. Our safest bet is Red Sox +2.5 at -245. Our bold bet is Red Sox to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red SoxCubs
Games played2020
Wins119
Losses911
Runs scored74122
Runs conceded8595
Scored per game3.76.1
Conceded per game4.34.8
Home record4W 5L6W 5L
Away record7W 4L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Sox spreadCoversFair
Red Sox -1.533%+204
Red Sox -0.542%+139
Red Sox +0.551%-105
Red Sox +1.561%-154
Red Sox +2.569%-227
Total runsOverUnder
7.566%34%
8.557%43%
9.548%52%
10.539%61%
11.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Sox +3.5 wins if Red Sox win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Red Sox Pitcher Payton Tolle Throws Rare Immaculate Inning

Boston Red Sox left-hander Payton Tolle pitched an immaculate inning to start Sunday's game against the Kansas City Royals, matching a rare franchise feat.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox?

Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox is Chicago Cubs to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Cubs 4.8 and Boston Red Sox 4.5. Our best bet is Red Sox +2.5 at -245.

What is the projected score for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox?

We project Chicago Cubs 4.8 and Boston Red Sox 4.5, about 9.3 runs in total.

How are Boston Red Sox playing?

Boston Red Sox have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 runs scored and 85 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Cubs playing?

Chicago Cubs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 122 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox?

Red Sox +2.5 at -245, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Sox against Cubs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.