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Predictions › United States › Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC
MLSSun 22 Nov, 18:30 United States time

Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC prediction

SeatGeek Stadium

Chicago Fire FCHome
2.03 : 1.95
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
41%Chicago
22%Draw
38%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-324

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -324.

Prediction
Chicago Fire FC to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Chicago Fire FC 2.0, Charlotte FC 1.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -324
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price -3242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price +2031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Fire FC 41%, the draw 22% and Charlotte FC 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Fire FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 8 from 5. Charlotte FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Fire FC won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chicago Fire FC score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. Charlotte FC score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Chicago Fire FC games and 15 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chicago Fire FC won 2 and Charlotte FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlotte FC 0, Chicago Fire FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Charlotterecent form+1%
Chicago form L W D W LCharlotte form D W W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC: Chicago Fire FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Fire FC host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sun 22 Nov, 18:30 at SeatGeek Stadium. Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -324.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chicago Fire FC won 2, Charlotte FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 0, Chicago Fire FC 1.

Our call

We expect Chicago Fire FC to score about 2.0 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.9. That points to Chicago Fire FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -324. Our bold bet is Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5 at +203.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ChicagoCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws56
Losses74
Goals scored3743
Goals conceded3828
Scored per game1.92.1
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record4W 2D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets5%30%
Both teams scored85%65%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%-1034
Over 2.5 goals76%-316
Over 3.5 goals56%-129
Both teams to score75%-300
Chicago Fire FC or Draw62%-166
Charlotte FC or Draw59%-145
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.534%+198
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.531%+223
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet14%+605
Charlotte FC clean sheet13%+664

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-17.8%
2-17.5%
2-27.3%
1-27.2%
3-15.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -324.

What is the score prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Chicago Fire FC to score 2.0 goals and Charlotte FC 1.9.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Chicago Fire FC last 20 games and 13 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Fire FC and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 0, Chicago Fire FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Chicago Fire FC won 2 and Charlotte FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Over 2.5 goals at -324, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicago against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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