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Predictions › United States › Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew prediction

SeatGeek Stadium

Chicago Fire FCHome
1.86 : 1.44
expected goals
Columbus CrewAway
47%Chicago
24%Draw
29%Columbus
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-568

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -568.

Prediction
Chicago Fire FC to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Chicago Fire FC 1.9, Columbus Crew 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -568
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price -5682 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price +1991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Fire FC 47%, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Fire FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Columbus Crew took 12 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Fire FC won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Columbus Crew won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chicago Fire FC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Columbus Crew score 1.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Chicago Fire FC games and 15 of Columbus Crew games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chicago Fire FC won 1 and Columbus Crew won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Columbus Crew 0, Chicago Fire FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Chicago form D L L W WColumbus form D L W W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew: Chicago Fire FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Fire FC host Columbus Crew in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at SeatGeek Stadium. Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -568.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chicago Fire FC won 1, Columbus Crew won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Columbus Crew 0, Chicago Fire FC 0.

Our call

We expect Chicago Fire FC to score about 1.9 goals and Columbus Crew about 1.4. That points to Chicago Fire FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -568. Our bold bet is Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5 at +199.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ChicagoColumbus
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws42
Losses610
Goals scored3534
Goals conceded3233
Scored per game1.81.7
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record5W 1D 2L6W 0D 4L
Away record5W 3D 4L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%-560
Over 2.5 goals64%-180
Over 3.5 goals42%+137
Both teams to score65%-187
Chicago Fire FC or Draw71%-241
Columbus Crew or Draw53%-113
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.534%+191
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.521%+379
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet24%+324
Columbus Crew clean sheet15%+546

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%
2-26.6%
2-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

St. Louis City SC Wins First Trophy in Penalty Shootout Over Columbus

St. Louis City SC captured their first trophy on Wednesday, beating Columbus Crew in a penalty shootout to claim the U.S. Open Cup.

22 Oct 2026
MLS

Roman Burki Taken to Hospital After Head Injury in Open Cup Final

St. Louis goalkeeper Roman Burki went to the hospital after a head collision during Wednesday night's match against Columbus Crew.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew?

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -568.

What is the score prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Chicago Fire FC to score 1.9 goals and Columbus Crew 1.4.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Chicago Fire FC last 20 games and 14 of Columbus Crew last 20.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Fire FC and Columbus Crew last met?

It ended Columbus Crew 0, Chicago Fire FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Chicago Fire FC won 1 and Columbus Crew won 0.

What is the best bet for Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew?

Over 1.5 goals at -568, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicago against Columbus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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