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Predictions › United States › Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC
MLSWed 28 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC prediction

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire FCHome
2.76 : 1.66
expected goals
Orlando City SCAway
61%Chicago
18%Draw
21%Orlando
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-433

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -433.

Prediction
Chicago Fire FC to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Chicago Fire FC 2.8, Orlando City SC 1.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -433
Both teams to score
76%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chicago Fire FC to win and both score
44% chanceFair price +1271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Fire FC 61%, the draw 18% and Orlando City SC 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Fire FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Orlando City SC took 7 from 5. Chicago Fire FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Fire FC won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Orlando City SC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chicago Fire FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Orlando City SC score 2.3 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Chicago Fire FC games and 15 of Orlando City SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chicago Fire FC won 2 and Orlando City SC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Orlando City SC 1, Chicago Fire FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicagorecent form+3%
  • Orlandorecent form-1%
  • Chicagorest between games-5%
  • Orlandorest between games-5%
Chicago form D L W W WOrlando form D D W L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC: Chicago Fire FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Fire FC host Orlando City SC in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -433.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chicago Fire FC won 2, Orlando City SC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando City SC 1, Chicago Fire FC 2.

Our call

We expect Chicago Fire FC to score about 2.8 goals and Orlando City SC about 1.7. That points to Chicago Fire FC to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -433. Our bold bet is Chicago Fire FC to win and both score at +127.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ChicagoOrlando
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws44
Losses76
Goals scored3346
Goals conceded3341
Scored per game1.62.3
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record5W 1D 3L7W 2D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored80%75%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%-1515
Over 2.5 goals82%-447
Over 3.5 goals64%-181
Both teams to score76%-319
Chicago Fire FC or Draw79%-369
Orlando City SC or Draw39%+154
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.553%-113
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.518%+455
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet19%+424
Orlando City SC clean sheet6%+1486

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-17.6%
3-17.0%
2-26.3%
1-15.8%
3-25.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -433.

What is the score prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-2. We expect Chicago Fire FC to score 2.8 goals and Orlando City SC 1.7.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC?

Both teams to score has a 76% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Chicago Fire FC last 20 games and 15 of Orlando City SC last 20.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

Orlando City SC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Fire FC and Orlando City SC last met?

It ended Orlando City SC 1, Chicago Fire FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Chicago Fire FC won 2 and Orlando City SC won 0.

What is the best bet for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City SC?

Over 2.5 goals at -433, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicago against Orlando. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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