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Predictions › United States › Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals
MLBTue 22 Sept, 19:40 United States time

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction

Kauffman Stadium

Chicago White SoxAway
5.1 : 5.2
projected runs
Kansas City RoyalsHome
49%White Sox
51%Royals
Eagle safe pickWhite Sox +2.5
-256

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals is Kansas City Royals to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 5.1 and Kansas City Royals 5.2. Our best bet is White Sox +2.5 at -256.

Prediction
Kansas City Royals to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Chicago White Sox 5, Kansas City Royals 5
Projected total
10.3 runs
Best bet
White Sox +2.5 at -256

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

White Sox +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas City Royals 51% and Chicago White Sox 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas City Royals won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago White Sox won 1 of their last 5. Kansas City Royals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas City Royals won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Chicago White Sox won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas City Royals score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.2. Chicago White Sox score 4.2 and let in 4.7. Their recent games average 8.8 and 8.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Kansas City Royals won 1 and Chicago White Sox won 4. The last one ended Chicago White Sox 4, Kansas City Royals 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    White Sox +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Royalsrest between games-5%
  • White Soxrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals: Kansas City Royals shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kansas City Royals host Chicago White Sox in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 19:40 at Kauffman Stadium. Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals is Kansas City Royals to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 5.1 and Kansas City Royals 5.2. Our best bet is White Sox +2.5 at -256.

Kansas City Royals form

Kansas City Royals have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 83 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Chicago White Sox form

Chicago White Sox have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 83 runs scored and 94 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Kansas City Royals won 1, Chicago White Sox won 4. Last time out it finished Chicago White Sox 4, Kansas City Royals 5.

Our call

We expect Chicago White Sox to score about 5.1 runs and Kansas City Royals about 5.2. That points to Kansas City Royals to win. Our safest bet is White Sox +2.5 at -256.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RoyalsWhite Sox
Games played2020
Wins119
Losses911
Runs scored9283
Runs conceded8394
Scored per game4.64.2
Conceded per game4.24.7
Home record6W 6L5W 6L
Away record5W 3L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Royals spreadCoversFair
Royals -2.529%+248
Royals -1.537%+168
Royals -0.547%+115
Royals +0.556%-128
Royals +1.565%-187
Total runsOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.557%43%
10.548%52%
11.539%61%
12.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Royals +3.5 wins if Royals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals?

Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals is Kansas City Royals to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 5.1 and Kansas City Royals 5.2. Our best bet is White Sox +2.5 at -256.

What is the projected score for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals?

We project Chicago White Sox 5.1 and Kansas City Royals 5.2, about 10.3 runs in total.

How are Kansas City Royals playing?

Kansas City Royals have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 83 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Chicago White Sox playing?

Chicago White Sox have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 83 runs scored and 94 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox last met?

It ended Chicago White Sox 4, Kansas City Royals 5. In the last 5 meetings Kansas City Royals won 1 and Chicago White Sox won 4.

What is the best bet for Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals?

White Sox +2.5 at -256, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Royals against White Sox. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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